Kenneth Walker III
- Opportunity xFP
- 12.8
- Actual
- 26.9
- vs xFP
- +110%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 318 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 28.34 | 306 pass yd · 11 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 2 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 26.96 | 144 pass yd · 32 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 26.9 | 128 rush yd · 2-11 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 26.2 | 64 rush yd · 9-53 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 24.2 | 5-97 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 23.98 | 312 pass yd · 5 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 7 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 23.8 | 235 pass yd · 24 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 8 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 23.1 | 225 pass yd · 1 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 22.8 | 95 rush yd · 3-58 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 22.7 | 39 rush yd · 4-48 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 22.5 | 12-165 rec |
| 12 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 21.24 | 276 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 13 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 21 | 44 rush yd · 4-26 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 21 | 300 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 15 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 20.9 | 6-99 rec · 1 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 28.34 | 306 pass yd · 11 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 2 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 26.96 | 144 pass yd · 32 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 23.98 | 312 pass yd · 5 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 4 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 23.8 | 235 pass yd · 24 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 5 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 23.1 | 225 pass yd · 1 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 6 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 21.24 | 276 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 7 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 21 | 300 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 8 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 19.84 | 281 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 9 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 19.52 | 313 pass yd · 2 TD |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 18.3 | 255 pass yd · 1 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 11 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 17.36 | 264 pass yd · 28 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 12 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | NYG | 17.32 | 243 pass yd · 26 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 13 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 17.02 | 253 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 16.88 | 222 pass yd · 2 TD |
| 15 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 16.5 | 305 pass yd · 3 rush yd · 1 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 26.9 | 128 rush yd · 2-11 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 26.2 | 64 rush yd · 9-53 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 22.8 | 95 rush yd · 3-58 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 22.7 | 39 rush yd · 4-48 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 21 | 44 rush yd · 4-26 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 20.1 | 94 rush yd · 2-57 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 18.6 | 120 rush yd · 1-1 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 17.5 | 18 rush yd · 2-27 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 13.9 | 34 rush yd · 2-35 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 13.8 | 22 rush yd · 4-36 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 13.7 | 27 rush yd · 4-30 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | 13.5 | 51 rush yd · 2-34 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 13.1 | 25 rush yd · 3-31 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | 13 | 35 rush yd · 4-15 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 13 | 42 rush yd · 2-18 rec · 1 TD |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 24.2 | 5-97 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 22.5 | 12-165 rec |
| 3 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 20.2 | 11-87 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 19.4 | 12-134 rec |
| 5 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 19.4 | 6-104 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 19.3 | 6-103 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 18.7 | 4-107 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 17 | 7-75 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 16.2 | 3-87 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 16.1 | 7-86 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 16 | 6-70 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 14.8 | 11-93 rec |
| 13 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 14.3 | 7-48 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 13.9 | 4-59 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 13.5 | 7-40 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 20.9 | 6-99 rec · 1 TD |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 20.5 | 5-60 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | 18.6 | 4-46 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 15.5 | 6-65 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 15.4 | 5-69 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Foster Moreau | TE | HOU | 13.7 | 2-7 rec · 2 TD |
| 7 | Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 13 | 7-95 rec |
| 8 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 12.8 | 4-48 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Josh Cuevas | TE | BAL | 12.4 | 4-44 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Colby Parkinson | TE | LAR | 11.6 | 5-31 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 10.5 | 4-25 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 10.4 | 7-69 rec |
| 13 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 9.1 | 6-61 rec |
| 14 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 9 | 4-70 rec |
| 15 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 8.8 | 7-53 rec |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +14.08 | 26.9 FP vs 12.8 xFP · 3 tgt · 19 car |
| 2 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | +13.96 | 22.7 FP vs 8.7 xFP · 4 tgt · 12 car |
| 3 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | +12.18 | 24.2 FP vs 12.0 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 4 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | +11.88 | 18.7 FP vs 6.8 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 5 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | +11.45 | 17.5 FP vs 6.0 xFP · 3 tgt · 6 car |
| 6 | Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | +11.44 | 18.6 FP vs 7.2 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 7 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | +11.41 | 20.2 FP vs 8.8 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | +10.98 | 20.5 FP vs 9.5 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 9 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | +10.05 | 27.0 FP vs 16.9 xFP · 5 car · 30 att |
| 10 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | +8.79 | 13.1 FP vs 4.3 xFP · 4 tgt · 6 car |
| 11 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | +8.65 | 19.3 FP vs 10.7 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 12 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | +8.51 | 26.2 FP vs 17.7 xFP · 10 tgt · 16 car |
| 13 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | +8.17 | 24.0 FP vs 15.8 xFP · 1 car · 34 att |
| 14 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | +7.98 | 28.3 FP vs 20.4 xFP · 3 car · 41 att |
| 15 | James Cook | RB | BUF | +7.91 | 22.8 FP vs 14.9 xFP · 3 tgt · 22 car |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | -12.39 | 13.0 FP vs 25.4 xFP · 2 car · 54 att |
| 2 | Will Mallory | TE | IND | -11.44 | 3.0 FP vs 14.4 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 3 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | -11.06 | 13.0 FP vs 24.1 xFP · 2 car · 51 att |
| 4 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | -10.85 | 9.0 FP vs 19.9 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 5 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | -10.43 | 11.5 FP vs 21.9 xFP · 18 tgt |
| 6 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | -10.38 | 4.5 FP vs 14.9 xFP · 4 car · 27 att |
| 7 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | -10.26 | 9.8 FP vs 20.0 xFP · 5 car · 37 att |
| 8 | Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | -9.37 | 12.7 FP vs 22.0 xFP · 1 tgt · 4 car · 43 att |
| 9 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | -9.29 | 8.4 FP vs 17.7 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 10 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | -9.06 | 7.9 FP vs 17.0 xFP · 2 car · 35 att |
| 11 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | -8.99 | 4.2 FP vs 13.2 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 12 | Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | -8.1 | 12.6 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 1 car · 45 att |
| 13 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | -7.82 | 9.5 FP vs 17.3 xFP · 8 car · 26 att |
| 14 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | -7.39 | 7.9 FP vs 15.3 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 15 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | -7.3 | 2.0 FP vs 9.3 xFP · 5 tgt |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 25.41 | 13.0 FP vs 25.4 xFP · 2 car · 54 att |
| 2 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 24.08 | 13.0 FP vs 24.1 xFP · 2 car · 51 att |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 22.88 | 19.4 FP vs 22.9 xFP · 16 tgt |
| 4 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 22.78 | 20.9 FP vs 22.8 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 5 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 22.5 | 19.4 FP vs 22.5 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 6 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 22.47 | 17.0 FP vs 22.5 xFP · 1 car · 49 att |
| 7 | Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | 22.03 | 12.7 FP vs 22.0 xFP · 1 tgt · 4 car · 43 att |
| 8 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 21.93 | 11.5 FP vs 21.9 xFP · 18 tgt |
| 9 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 21.38 | 17.0 FP vs 21.4 xFP · 14 tgt |
| 10 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 21.07 | 21.2 FP vs 21.1 xFP · 4 car · 41 att |
| 11 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 20.8 | 15.8 FP vs 20.8 xFP · 3 car · 42 att |
| 12 | Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | 20.7 | 12.6 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 1 car · 45 att |
| 13 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 20.63 | 21.0 FP vs 20.6 xFP · 4 car · 40 att |
| 14 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 20.36 | 28.3 FP vs 20.4 xFP · 3 car · 41 att |
| 15 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 20.02 | 9.8 FP vs 20.0 xFP · 5 car · 37 att |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs Week 5. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | +28 | 28 car · was 0.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +19 | 19 car · was 0.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 3 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | +15 | 18 car · was 3.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 4 | Bam Knight | RB | ARI | +14 | 15 car · was 1.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 5 | Kendre Miller | RB | NO | +10 | 20 car · was 10.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 6 | Audric Estimé | RB | CLE | +9 | 9 car · was 0.0 car |
| 7 | Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | CLE | +9 | 9 car · was 0.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 8 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | +9 | 11 car · was 2.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 9 | Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | +8 | 13 car · was 5.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 10 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | +8 | 9 car · was 1.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 11 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | +7 | 16 car · was 9.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 12 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | +6 | 21 car · was 15.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 13 | Pierre Strong | RB | GB | +6 | 11 car · was 5.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 14 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | +5 | 16 car · was 11.0 car · 10 tgt |
| 15 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | +5 | 19 car · was 14.0 car · 1 tgt |
Carries vs Week 5. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | -10 | 12 car · was 22.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | -8 | 9 car · was 17.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 3 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | -7 | 17 car · was 24.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 4 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | -7 | 7 car · was 14.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | -7 | 17 car · was 24.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 6 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | -6 | 10 car · was 16.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 7 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | -6 | 14 car · was 20.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 8 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | -5 | 4 car · was 9.0 car |
| 9 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | -5 | 5 car · was 10.0 car |
| 10 | James Cook | RB | BUF | -3 | 22 car · was 25.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 11 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | -2 | 19 car · was 21.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 12 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | -2 | 8 car · was 10.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 13 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | -1 | 17 car · was 18.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 14 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | -1 | 11 car · was 12.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 15 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | -1 | 14 car · was 15.0 car · 4 tgt |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs Week 5 — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | +0.84 | 0.84 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 13 tgt |
| 2 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | +0.83 | 0.83 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 14 tgt |
| 3 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | +0.76 | 0.76 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 10 tgt |
| 4 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | +0.66 | 0.94 this week · 0.27 Week 5 · 15 tgt |
| 5 | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | LAC | +0.62 | 0.62 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 9 tgt |
| 6 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | +0.61 | 0.61 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 7 tgt |
| 7 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | +0.58 | 0.58 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 9 tgt |
| 8 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | +0.56 | 0.56 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 7 tgt |
| 9 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | +0.5 | 0.79 this week · 0.29 Week 5 · 18 tgt |
| 10 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | +0.49 | 0.49 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 5 tgt |
| 11 | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | DEN | +0.49 | 0.59 this week · 0.10 Week 5 · 4 tgt |
| 12 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | +0.49 | 0.54 this week · 0.05 Week 5 · 6 tgt · 2 car |
| 13 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | +0.45 | 0.93 this week · 0.48 Week 5 · 7 tgt |
| 14 | Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | +0.42 | 0.42 this week · 0.00 Week 5 · 6 tgt |
| 15 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | +0.41 | 0.56 this week · 0.15 Week 5 · 10 tgt · 16 car |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 30 | 2 tgt · 28 car · 6% tgt share |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 26 | 10 tgt · 16 car · 34% tgt share |
| 3 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 25 | 3 tgt · 22 car · 10% tgt share |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 25 | 4 tgt · 21 car · 11% tgt share |
| 5 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 22 | 3 tgt · 19 car · 10% tgt share |
| 6 | Kendre Miller | RB | NO | 22 | 2 tgt · 20 car · 7% tgt share |
| 7 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 22 | 3 tgt · 19 car · 7% tgt share |
| 8 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 21 | 5 tgt · 16 car · 15% tgt share |
| 9 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 20 | 3 tgt · 17 car · 12% tgt share |
| 10 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 20 | 1 tgt · 19 car · 5% tgt share |
| 11 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 20 | 2 tgt · 18 car · 6% tgt share |
| 12 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 19 | 2 tgt · 17 car · 7% tgt share |
| 13 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 18 | 18 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 14 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 18 | 3 tgt · 15 car · 9% tgt share |
| 15 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 18 | 4 tgt · 14 car · 9% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 0.94 | 15 tgt · 34% tgt share |
| 2 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 0.93 | 16 tgt · 39% tgt share |
| 3 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 0.93 | 7 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 4 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 0.87 | 7 tgt · 29% tgt share |
| 5 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 0.85 | 13 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 6 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 0.84 | 13 tgt · 37% tgt share |
| 7 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 0.83 | 14 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 8 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 0.82 | 16 tgt · 35% tgt share |
| 9 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 0.8 | 11 tgt · 1 car · 35% tgt share |
| 10 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 0.79 | 18 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 11 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 0.76 | 10 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 12 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 0.76 | 10 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 13 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 0.76 | 15 tgt · 35% tgt share |
| 14 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 0.69 | 11 tgt · 27% tgt share |
| 15 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 0.67 | 7 tgt · 32% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 54 | 34/54 · 258 yd |
| 2 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 51 | 27/51 · 278 yd |
| 3 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 49 | 33/49 · 253 yd |
| 4 | Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | 45 | 26/45 · 215 yd |
| 5 | Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | 43 | 22/43 · 164 yd |
| 6 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 42 | 22/42 · 269 yd |
| 7 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 41 | 24/41 · 306 yd |
| 8 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 41 | 23/41 · 276 yd |
| 9 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 41 | 23/41 · 313 yd |
| 10 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 40 | 29/40 · 300 yd |
| 11 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 39 | 20/39 · 281 yd |
| 12 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 37 | 22/37 · 204 yd |
| 13 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 36 | 30/36 · 305 yd |
| 14 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 35 | 24/35 · 218 yd |
| 15 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 34 | 24/34 · 312 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 26.75 | 4/4 · 107 yd |
| 2 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 18.8 | 3/5 · 94 yd |
| 3 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 17.4 | 3/5 · 87 yd |
| 4 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 17.25 | 4/4 · 69 yd |
| 5 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 14.8 | 3/5 · 74 yd |
| 6 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 14.71 | 6/7 · 103 yd |
| 7 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 14.25 | 2/4 · 57 yd |
| 8 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 13.86 | 5/7 · 97 yd |
| 9 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 12.5 | 3/4 · 50 yd |
| 10 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 12 | 4/4 · 48 yd |
| 11 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 11.88 | 8/8 · 95 yd |
| 12 | Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | 11.5 | 4/4 · 46 yd |
| 13 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 11.43 | 6/7 · 80 yd |
| 14 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 11 | 12/15 · 165 yd |
| 15 | Treylon Burks | WR | WAS | 11 | 4/6 · 66 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 6.78 | 9 car · 61 yd |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 6.74 | 19 car · 128 yd |
| 3 | Bam Knight | RB | ARI | 5.33 | 15 car · 80 yd |
| 4 | Corey Kiner | RB | NE | 5.18 | 11 car · 57 yd |
| 5 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 5 | 10 car · 50 yd |
| 6 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | 5 | 11 car · 55 yd |
| 7 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 4.78 | 9 car · 43 yd |
| 8 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 4.67 | 9 car · 42 yd |
| 9 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 4.59 | 17 car · 78 yd |
| 10 | Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | CLE | 4.56 | 9 car · 41 yd |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 4.48 | 21 car · 94 yd |
| 12 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 4.32 | 22 car · 95 yd |
| 13 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 4.29 | 28 car · 120 yd |
| 14 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 4.25 | 8 car · 34 yd |
| 15 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 4 | 16 car · 64 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 3.46 | 7 opp · 24.2 FP |
| 2 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 2.93 | 7 opp · 20.5 FP |
| 3 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 2.76 | 7 opp · 19.3 FP |
| 4 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 2.32 | 6 opp · 13.9 FP |
| 5 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 2.29 | 7 opp · 16.0 FP |
| 6 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 2.21 | 7 opp · 15.5 FP |
| 7 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 2.01 | 8 opp · 16.1 FP |
| 8 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 1.94 | 9 opp · 17.5 FP |
| 9 | Colby Parkinson | TE | LAR | 1.93 | 6 opp · 11.6 FP |
| 10 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 1.93 | 8 opp · 15.4 FP |
| 11 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 1.91 | 7 opp · 13.4 FP |
| 12 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 1.9 | 6 opp · 11.4 FP |
| 13 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 1.9 | 11 opp · 20.9 FP |
| 14 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 1.76 | 7 opp · 12.3 FP |
| 15 | Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 1.75 | 6 opp · 10.5 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 11.45 | 16 tgt · 134 yd |
| 2 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 9.34 | 4 tgt · 107 yd |
| 3 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 9.04 | 7 tgt · 97 yd |
| 4 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 7.36 | 4 tgt · 48 yd |
| 5 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 6.63 | 4 tgt · 39 yd |
| 6 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 6.57 | 5 tgt · 87 yd |
| 7 | Josh Cuevas | TE | BAL | 6.49 | 5 tgt · 44 yd |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 6.15 | 7 tgt · 60 yd |
| 9 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 5.94 | 7 tgt · 103 yd |
| 10 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 5.87 | 4 tgt · 69 yd |
| 11 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 5.8 | 7 tgt · 70 yd |
| 12 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 5.73 | 5 tgt · 40 yd |
| 13 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 5.72 | 5 tgt · 94 yd |
| 14 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 5.71 | 9 tgt · 86 yd |
| 15 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 5.46 | 5 tgt · 48 yd |