Tetairoa McMillan
- Opportunity xFP
- 20.6
- Actual
- 38.2
- vs xFP
- +85%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 362 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 38.2 | 14-192 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 32.8 | -6 rush yd · 17-189 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 31.7 | 80 rush yd · 10-67 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 30.4 | 177 rush yd · 1-2 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 28.8 | 62 rush yd · 5-21 rec · 3 TD |
| 6 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 27.5 | 146 rush yd · 1-4 rec · 2 TD |
| 7 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 27.3 | 7-118 rec · 2 TD |
| 8 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 27.2 | 145 rush yd · 1-2 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 27.16 | 269 pass yd · 54 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 10 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 25.72 | 428 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 11 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 25.6 | 5-111 rec · 2 TD |
| 12 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 25.5 | 81 rush yd · 3-39 rec · 2 TD |
| 13 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 25.4 | 122 rush yd · 1-7 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | 25.2 | 62 rush yd · 1-5 rec · 3 TD |
| 15 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 23.96 | 299 pass yd · 3 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 27.16 | 269 pass yd · 54 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 2 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 25.72 | 428 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 3 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 23.96 | 299 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 4 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 23.6 | 365 pass yd · 2 TD |
| 5 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 23.08 | 347 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 6 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 21.46 | 329 pass yd · 3 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 7 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 20.48 | 412 pass yd · 1 TD |
| 8 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 20 | 250 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 19.62 | 218 pass yd · 29 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 19.52 | 253 pass yd · 4 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 11 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 18.88 | 222 pass yd · 20 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 12 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 18.1 | 335 pass yd · 7 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 13 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 17 | 225 pass yd · 2 TD |
| 14 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 16.58 | 222 pass yd · 27 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 15 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 15.94 | 286 pass yd · 5 rush yd · 1 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 31.7 | 80 rush yd · 10-67 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 30.4 | 177 rush yd · 1-2 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 28.8 | 62 rush yd · 5-21 rec · 3 TD |
| 4 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 27.5 | 146 rush yd · 1-4 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 27.2 | 145 rush yd · 1-2 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 25.5 | 81 rush yd · 3-39 rec · 2 TD |
| 7 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 25.4 | 122 rush yd · 1-7 rec · 2 TD |
| 8 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | 25.2 | 62 rush yd · 1-5 rec · 3 TD |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 22.2 | 95 rush yd · 1-2 rec · 2 TD |
| 10 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 20.3 | 23 rush yd · 5-35 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 18.6 | 53 rush yd · 6-43 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 17 | 100 rush yd · 2-0 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 16.9 | 47 rush yd · 3-27 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 15.7 | 46 rush yd · 4-31 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 15.6 | 58 rush yd · 6-68 rec |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 38.2 | 14-192 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 32.8 | -6 rush yd · 17-189 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 27.3 | 7-118 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 25.6 | 5-111 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 23.2 | 2 rush yd · 9-125 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 21.8 | 8-118 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 21.2 | 11-157 rec |
| 8 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 20.8 | 6-58 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 20.6 | 6-116 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 20.2 | 6-112 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 17 | 9-145 rec |
| 12 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | 16.8 | 3-33 rec · 2 TD |
| 13 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 15.6 | 8-116 rec |
| 14 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 15.5 | 44 rush yd · 5-26 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | 14.9 | 3-74 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 18.4 | 13-119 rec |
| 2 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 18.4 | 8-84 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 17.6 | 6-86 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 15 | 4-70 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 13.5 | 3 rush yd · 6-42 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 13 | 7-95 rec |
| 7 | Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 12.2 | 8-82 rec |
| 8 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 11.5 | 3-40 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 11.2 | 5-27 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Ian Thomas | TE | LV | 10.2 | 2-32 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 10.2 | 3-27 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 10.2 | 3-27 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 10.1 | 7-66 rec |
| 14 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 9.2 | 5-67 rec |
| 15 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 9.2 | 3-17 rec · 1 TD |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | +17.55 | 38.2 FP vs 20.6 xFP · 16 tgt |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +16.43 | 30.4 FP vs 14.0 xFP · 1 tgt · 22 car |
| 3 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | +16.17 | 25.2 FP vs 9.0 xFP · 1 tgt · 14 car |
| 4 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | +14.52 | 27.2 FP vs 12.7 xFP · 2 tgt · 19 car |
| 5 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | +14.38 | 27.3 FP vs 12.9 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 6 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | +13.74 | 28.8 FP vs 15.1 xFP · 5 tgt · 19 car |
| 7 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | +11.26 | 17.0 FP vs 5.7 xFP · 2 tgt · 9 car |
| 8 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | +11.2 | 25.5 FP vs 14.3 xFP · 4 tgt · 21 car |
| 9 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | +11.15 | 25.4 FP vs 14.2 xFP · 2 tgt · 20 car |
| 10 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | +10.67 | 25.6 FP vs 14.9 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 11 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | +10.55 | 20.3 FP vs 9.8 xFP · 7 tgt · 7 car |
| 12 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | +10.12 | 21.8 FP vs 11.7 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 13 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | +9.87 | 20.6 FP vs 10.7 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 14 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | +9.47 | 31.7 FP vs 22.2 xFP · 13 tgt · 16 car |
| 15 | Isaiah Williams | WR | NYJ | +9.1 | 14.3 FP vs 5.2 xFP · 3 tgt |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | -13.12 | 11.7 FP vs 24.8 xFP · 3 car · 51 att |
| 2 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | -11.51 | 10.1 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 3 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | -10.2 | 5.2 FP vs 15.4 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 4 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | -10.08 | 6.6 FP vs 16.7 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 5 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | -9.8 | 0.9 FP vs 10.7 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 6 | Bryce Lance | WR | NO | -9.61 | 1.2 FP vs 10.8 xFP · 5 tgt |
| 7 | Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | -9.55 | 0.8 FP vs 10.3 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 8 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | -9.25 | 11.5 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 6 car · 37 att |
| 9 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | -9.05 | 8.9 FP vs 18.0 xFP · 4 car · 34 att |
| 10 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | -8.24 | 3.6 FP vs 11.8 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 11 | Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | -8.15 | 9.8 FP vs 18.0 xFP · 4 car · 34 att |
| 12 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | -7.98 | 11.6 FP vs 19.5 xFP · 1 tgt · 6 car · 31 att |
| 13 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | -7.74 | 6.4 FP vs 14.1 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 14 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | -7.53 | 17.6 FP vs 25.1 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 15 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | -6.81 | 15.9 FP vs 22.8 xFP · 2 car · 48 att |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 26.13 | 25.7 FP vs 26.1 xFP · 3 car · 54 att |
| 2 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 25.47 | 21.2 FP vs 25.5 xFP · 16 tgt |
| 3 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 25.13 | 17.6 FP vs 25.1 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 24.88 | 32.8 FP vs 24.9 xFP · 21 tgt · 1 car |
| 5 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 24.8 | 11.7 FP vs 24.8 xFP · 3 car · 51 att |
| 6 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 23.14 | 18.4 FP vs 23.1 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 7 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 23.09 | 23.6 FP vs 23.1 xFP · 52 att |
| 8 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 23.09 | 20.5 FP vs 23.1 xFP · 52 att |
| 9 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 22.75 | 15.9 FP vs 22.8 xFP · 2 car · 48 att |
| 10 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 22.23 | 31.7 FP vs 22.2 xFP · 13 tgt · 16 car |
| 11 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 22.17 | 27.2 FP vs 22.2 xFP · 8 car · 37 att |
| 12 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 21.61 | 10.1 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 13 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 21.42 | 18.1 FP vs 21.4 xFP · 2 car · 45 att |
| 14 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 20.73 | 11.5 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 6 car · 37 att |
| 15 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 20.65 | 38.2 FP vs 20.6 xFP · 16 tgt |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs Week 3. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | +20 | 30 car · was 10.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 2 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | +14 | 14 car · was 0.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 3 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | +12 | 21 car · was 9.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 4 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | +10 | 14 car · was 4.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 5 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | +8 | 10 car · was 2.0 car |
| 6 | Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | +7 | 8 car · was 1.0 car |
| 7 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | +6 | 13 car · was 7.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 8 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | +6 | 8 car · was 2.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 9 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | +6 | 14 car · was 8.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 10 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +4 | 22 car · was 18.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 11 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | +4 | 8 car · was 4.0 car |
| 12 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | +4 | 14 car · was 10.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 13 | Kaleb Johnson | RB | GB | +4 | 8 car · was 4.0 car |
| 14 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | +4 | 9 car · was 5.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 15 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | +3 | 20 car · was 17.0 car · 8 tgt |
Carries vs Week 3. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | -13 | 2 car · was 15.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 2 | James Cook | RB | BUF | -12 | 12 car · was 24.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | -10 | 19 car · was 29.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 4 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | -10 | 9 car · was 19.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 5 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | -8 | 9 car · was 17.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 6 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | -7 | 14 car · was 21.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 7 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | -7 | 2 car · was 9.0 car |
| 8 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | -6 | 9 car · was 15.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 9 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | -6 | 11 car · was 17.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 10 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | -5 | 15 car · was 20.0 car · 7 tgt |
| 11 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | -5 | 15 car · was 20.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 12 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | -4 | 15 car · was 19.0 car · 8 tgt |
| 13 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | -4 | 7 car · was 11.0 car |
| 14 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | -4 | 9 car · was 13.0 car · 11 tgt |
| 15 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | -3 | 20 car · was 23.0 car · 4 tgt |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs Week 3 — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | +0.74 | 0.74 this week · 0.00 Week 3 · 7 tgt |
| 2 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | +0.68 | 0.93 this week · 0.25 Week 3 · 16 tgt |
| 3 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | +0.67 | 0.67 this week · 0.00 Week 3 · 8 tgt |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | +0.64 | 1.16 this week · 0.52 Week 3 · 21 tgt · 1 car |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | +0.57 | 0.57 this week · 0.00 Week 3 · 12 tgt · 1 car |
| 6 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | +0.56 | 0.92 this week · 0.36 Week 3 · 13 tgt |
| 7 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | +0.52 | 0.74 this week · 0.22 Week 3 · 8 tgt |
| 8 | Ashton Dulin | WR | IND | +0.52 | 0.52 this week · 0.00 Week 3 · 6 tgt |
| 9 | Laquon Treadwell | WR | IND | +0.48 | 0.57 this week · 0.09 Week 3 · 6 tgt |
| 10 | Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | +0.47 | 0.47 this week · 0.00 Week 3 · 4 tgt |
| 11 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | +0.44 | 0.63 this week · 0.19 Week 3 · 7 tgt |
| 12 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | +0.44 | 1.13 this week · 0.70 Week 3 · 12 tgt |
| 13 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | +0.43 | 0.62 this week · 0.19 Week 3 · 9 tgt |
| 14 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | +0.39 | 0.86 this week · 0.47 Week 3 · 12 tgt |
| 15 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | +0.37 | 0.77 this week · 0.40 Week 3 · 8 tgt |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 31 | 1 tgt · 30 car · 3% tgt share |
| 2 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 29 | 13 tgt · 16 car · 26% tgt share |
| 3 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 28 | 8 tgt · 20 car · 24% tgt share |
| 4 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 25 | 4 tgt · 21 car · 20% tgt share |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 25 | 2 tgt · 23 car · 7% tgt share |
| 6 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 24 | 5 tgt · 19 car · 12% tgt share |
| 7 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 24 | 4 tgt · 20 car · 14% tgt share |
| 8 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 24 | 7 tgt · 17 car · 21% tgt share |
| 9 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 23 | 1 tgt · 22 car · 4% tgt share |
| 10 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 23 | 8 tgt · 15 car · 17% tgt share |
| 11 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 23 | 6 tgt · 17 car · 15% tgt share |
| 12 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 22 | 21 tgt · 1 car · 49% tgt share |
| 13 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 22 | 2 tgt · 20 car · 5% tgt share |
| 14 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 22 | 7 tgt · 15 car · 14% tgt share |
| 15 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 21 | 2 tgt · 19 car · 10% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 1.16 | 21 tgt · 1 car · 49% tgt share |
| 2 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 1.13 | 12 tgt · 43% tgt share |
| 3 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 0.93 | 16 tgt · 41% tgt share |
| 4 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 0.93 | 13 tgt · 37% tgt share |
| 5 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 0.92 | 13 tgt · 39% tgt share |
| 6 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 0.86 | 12 tgt · 41% tgt share |
| 7 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 0.81 | 6 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 8 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 0.8 | 8 tgt · 28% tgt share |
| 9 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 0.78 | 10 tgt · 34% tgt share |
| 10 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 0.78 | 16 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 11 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 0.77 | 8 tgt · 35% tgt share |
| 12 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 0.76 | 7 tgt · 21% tgt share |
| 13 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 0.74 | 6 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 14 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 0.74 | 8 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 15 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | 0.74 | 7 tgt · 28% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 54 | 39/54 · 428 yd |
| 2 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 52 | 31/52 · 365 yd |
| 3 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 52 | 32/52 · 412 yd |
| 4 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 51 | 32/51 · 317 yd |
| 5 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 48 | 30/48 · 286 yd |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 45 | 32/45 · 335 yd |
| 7 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 42 | 25/42 · 214 yd |
| 8 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 41 | 29/41 · 329 yd |
| 9 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 40 | 22/40 · 299 yd |
| 10 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 37 | 22/37 · 269 yd |
| 11 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 37 | 27/37 · 247 yd |
| 12 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 35 | 21/35 · 166 yd |
| 13 | Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | 34 | 25/34 · 268 yd |
| 14 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 34 | 19/34 · 143 yd |
| 15 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 33 | 23/33 · 253 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 16.57 | 6/7 · 116 yd |
| 2 | Dyami Brown | WR | WAS | 16.25 | 3/4 · 65 yd |
| 3 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 16 | 6/7 · 112 yd |
| 4 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 16 | 5/6 · 96 yd |
| 5 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 14.75 | 7/8 · 118 yd |
| 6 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 13.88 | 5/8 · 111 yd |
| 7 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 13.43 | 6/7 · 94 yd |
| 8 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 13.4 | 5/5 · 67 yd |
| 9 | Mack Hollins | WR | NE | 13.25 | 3/4 · 53 yd |
| 10 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 12.78 | 5/9 · 115 yd |
| 11 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 12.75 | 6/8 · 102 yd |
| 12 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 12.71 | 4/7 · 89 yd |
| 13 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 12.67 | 5/6 · 76 yd |
| 14 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 12.4 | 5/5 · 62 yd |
| 15 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | 12.33 | 3/6 · 74 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 11.11 | 9 car · 100 yd |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 8.05 | 22 car · 177 yd |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 7.63 | 19 car · 145 yd |
| 4 | Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | 6.88 | 8 car · 55 yd |
| 5 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 6.75 | 8 car · 54 yd |
| 6 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 6.25 | 12 car · 75 yd |
| 7 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 6.1 | 20 car · 122 yd |
| 8 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 5.47 | 17 car · 93 yd |
| 9 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 5.25 | 8 car · 42 yd |
| 10 | Kaleb Johnson | RB | GB | 5.25 | 8 car · 42 yd |
| 11 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 5 | 16 car · 80 yd |
| 12 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 5 | 9 car · 45 yd |
| 13 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 4.87 | 30 car · 146 yd |
| 14 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 4.75 | 20 car · 95 yd |
| 15 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 4.7 | 20 car · 94 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 3.41 | 8 opp · 27.3 FP |
| 2 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 3.2 | 8 opp · 25.6 FP |
| 3 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 2.94 | 7 opp · 20.6 FP |
| 4 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 2.89 | 7 opp · 20.2 FP |
| 5 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 2.5 | 6 opp · 15.0 FP |
| 6 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | 2.48 | 6 opp · 14.9 FP |
| 7 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | 2.4 | 7 opp · 16.8 FP |
| 8 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 2.39 | 16 opp · 38.2 FP |
| 9 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 2.31 | 9 opp · 20.8 FP |
| 10 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 2.18 | 10 opp · 21.8 FP |
| 11 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 2.02 | 6 opp · 12.1 FP |
| 12 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 2 | 6 opp · 12.0 FP |
| 13 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 1.87 | 6 opp · 11.2 FP |
| 14 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 1.78 | 13 opp · 23.2 FP |
| 15 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 1.77 | 7 opp · 12.4 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 16.66 | 16 tgt · 192 yd |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 13.61 | 21 tgt · 189 yd |
| 3 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 11.24 | 13 tgt · 119 yd |
| 4 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 10.9 | 7 tgt · 112 yd |
| 5 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 9.42 | 8 tgt · 118 yd |
| 6 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 9.11 | 8 tgt · 111 yd |
| 7 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 8.94 | 7 tgt · 116 yd |
| 8 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 8.89 | 13 tgt · 84 yd |
| 9 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 7.18 | 12 tgt · 116 yd |
| 10 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 7.1 | 8 tgt · 102 yd |
| 11 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 6.95 | 16 tgt · 157 yd |
| 12 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 6.85 | 6 tgt · 96 yd |
| 13 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 6.66 | 7 tgt · 94 yd |
| 14 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 6.66 | 12 tgt · 145 yd |
| 15 | Dyami Brown | WR | WAS | 5.99 | 4 tgt · 65 yd |