Jaylen Warren
- Opportunity xFP
- 10.9
- Actual
- 33.8
- vs xFP
- +210%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 346 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 39.46 | 374 pass yd · 25 rush yd · 5 TD |
| 2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 35.2 | 151 rush yd · 5-56 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 33.8 | 101 rush yd · 6-87 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 32.26 | 199 pass yd · 103 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 5 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 31.5 | 210 pass yd · 121 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 6 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 30.5 | 165 rush yd · 2-10 rec · 2 TD |
| 7 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 29.3 | 6-143 rec · 2 TD |
| 8 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 29.2 | 9 rush yd · 17-138 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 28.94 | 271 pass yd · 1 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 10 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 27.4 | 6-124 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 27.32 | 383 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 12 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 26.9 | 11-94 rec · 2 TD |
| 13 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 25.78 | 292 pass yd · 19 rush yd · 1-7 rec · 3 TD |
| 14 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 25.74 | 326 pass yd · 27 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 15 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 25.28 | 367 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 2 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 39.46 | 374 pass yd · 25 rush yd · 5 TD |
| 2 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 32.26 | 199 pass yd · 103 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 3 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 31.5 | 210 pass yd · 121 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 4 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 28.94 | 271 pass yd · 1 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 5 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 27.32 | 383 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 6 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 25.78 | 292 pass yd · 19 rush yd · 1-7 rec · 3 TD |
| 7 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 25.74 | 326 pass yd · 27 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 8 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 25.28 | 367 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 9 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 24.6 | 190 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 10 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 24.04 | 201 pass yd · 20 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 11 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 22.74 | 331 pass yd · 25 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 12 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 22 | 235 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 13 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 20.94 | 261 pass yd · 5 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 14 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 20.88 | 137 pass yd · 74 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 15 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 18.26 | 229 pass yd · 51 rush yd · 1 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 35.2 | 151 rush yd · 5-56 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 33.8 | 101 rush yd · 6-87 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 30.5 | 165 rush yd · 2-10 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 22.3 | 111 rush yd · 1-7 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 20.5 | 102 rush yd · 1-18 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 18.1 | 116 rush yd · 1-0 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 17.2 | 113 rush yd · 3-4 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 16.6 | 49 rush yd · 6-27 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 16.2 | 31 rush yd · 1-6 rec · 2 TD |
| 10 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 16 | 64 rush yd · 3-21 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 15.8 | 68 rush yd · 3-15 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 15.3 | 43 rush yd · 4-30 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 14.8 | 68 rush yd · 2-10 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 14.8 | 88 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 15 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 14.7 | 19 rush yd · 3-53 rec · 1 TD |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 29.3 | 6-143 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 29.2 | 9 rush yd · 17-138 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 27.4 | 6-124 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 23.6 | 11-121 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 23.5 | 9-130 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 22.8 | 7-113 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 20.5 | 4-65 rec · 2 TD |
| 8 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 20.3 | 16 rush yd · 5-102 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 19.9 | 7-104 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 19.6 | 5-51 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 17.7 | 2-47 rec · 2 TD |
| 12 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 17.3 | 6-123 rec |
| 13 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 16.7 | 6-77 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Kyle Williams | WR | NE | 16.6 | 3-91 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 15.8 | -11 rush yd · 6-79 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 26.9 | 11-94 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 19 | 1 rush yd · 5-44 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 19 | 8-110 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 17.9 | 1 rush yd · 7-83 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 17.3 | 5-88 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 17.1 | 9-66 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Teagan Quitoriano | TE | ARI | 14.5 | 2-15 rec · 2 TD |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 12.7 | 5-42 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 11.9 | 3-44 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 10.8 | 5-83 rec |
| 11 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 10.3 | 7-68 rec |
| 12 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 9.1 | 2 rush yd · 5-64 rec |
| 13 | Tanner Hudson | TE | CIN | 8.9 | 3-14 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 8.2 | 5-57 rec |
| 15 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 8 | 4-60 rec |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | +22.91 | 33.8 FP vs 10.9 xFP · 6 tgt · 15 car |
| 2 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | +19.34 | 39.5 FP vs 20.1 xFP · 7 car · 34 att |
| 3 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | +16.52 | 35.2 FP vs 18.7 xFP · 6 tgt · 25 car |
| 4 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | +16.25 | 27.4 FP vs 11.2 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 5 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | +15.89 | 31.5 FP vs 15.6 xFP · 10 car · 19 att |
| 6 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | +15.39 | 30.5 FP vs 15.1 xFP · 3 tgt · 21 car |
| 7 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | +14.9 | 28.9 FP vs 14.0 xFP · 1 car · 30 att |
| 8 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | +14.7 | 32.3 FP vs 17.6 xFP · 9 car · 25 att |
| 9 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | +11.92 | 20.5 FP vs 8.6 xFP · 5 tgt |
| 10 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | +11.56 | 29.3 FP vs 17.7 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 11 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | +10.8 | 25.3 FP vs 14.5 xFP · 1 car · 31 att |
| 12 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | +10.39 | 19.6 FP vs 9.2 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 13 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | +9.4 | 14.1 FP vs 4.7 xFP · 3 tgt |
| 14 | Kyle Williams | WR | NE | +9.16 | 16.6 FP vs 7.4 xFP · 3 tgt |
| 15 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | +8.61 | 17.3 FP vs 8.7 xFP · 5 tgt |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | -10.7 | 6.0 FP vs 16.7 xFP · 1 car · 36 att |
| 2 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | -10.61 | 11.1 FP vs 21.7 xFP · 3 car · 44 att |
| 3 | Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | -10.13 | 2.4 FP vs 12.5 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 4 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | -10.07 | 1.1 FP vs 11.2 xFP · 5 tgt |
| 5 | Laquon Treadwell | WR | IND | -9.45 | 4.4 FP vs 13.8 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 6 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | -9.26 | 1.8 FP vs 11.1 xFP · 25 att |
| 7 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | -9.23 | 3.5 FP vs 12.7 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 8 | Jalen Brooks | WR | ARI | -8.99 | 2.6 FP vs 11.6 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 9 | Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | -8.3 | 3.2 FP vs 11.5 xFP · 3 car · 21 att |
| 10 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | -7.43 | 1.7 FP vs 9.2 xFP · 1 car · 19 att |
| 11 | Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | -7.17 | 2.2 FP vs 9.4 xFP · 5 tgt · 11 car |
| 12 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | -6.94 | 7.9 FP vs 14.9 xFP · 4 car · 27 att |
| 13 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | -6.93 | 10.0 FP vs 16.9 xFP · 5 car · 30 att |
| 14 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | -6.76 | 12.2 FP vs 19.0 xFP · 6 car · 33 att |
| 15 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | -6.68 | 5.3 FP vs 12.0 xFP · 7 tgt · 1 att |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 29.77 | 23.6 FP vs 29.8 xFP · 20 tgt |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 29.21 | 29.2 FP vs 29.2 xFP · 24 tgt · 2 car |
| 3 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 27.56 | 25.7 FP vs 27.6 xFP · 5 car · 54 att |
| 4 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 23.98 | 27.3 FP vs 24.0 xFP · 54 att |
| 5 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 23.12 | 25.8 FP vs 23.1 xFP · 1 tgt · 2 car · 47 att |
| 6 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 21.69 | 11.1 FP vs 21.7 xFP · 3 car · 44 att |
| 7 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 21.5 | 26.9 FP vs 21.5 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 8 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 20.49 | 18.3 FP vs 20.5 xFP · 10 car · 30 att |
| 9 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 20.12 | 39.5 FP vs 20.1 xFP · 7 car · 34 att |
| 10 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 19.47 | 22.7 FP vs 19.5 xFP · 3 car · 39 att |
| 11 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 19.4 | 20.9 FP vs 19.4 xFP · 6 car · 34 att |
| 12 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 19.2 | 13.0 FP vs 19.2 xFP · 2 car · 40 att |
| 13 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 18.96 | 12.2 FP vs 19.0 xFP · 6 car · 33 att |
| 14 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 18.68 | 35.2 FP vs 18.7 xFP · 6 tgt · 25 car |
| 15 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 18.65 | 14.6 FP vs 18.6 xFP · 42 att |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs Week 4. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Cook | RB | BUF | +13 | 25 car · was 12.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 2 | Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | +11 | 14 car · was 3.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 3 | Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | +11 | 11 car · was 0.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | +10 | 25 car · was 15.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 5 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | +10 | 24 car · was 14.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 6 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | +9 | 9 car · was 0.0 car |
| 7 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | +9 | 18 car · was 9.0 car |
| 8 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | +9 | 15 car · was 6.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 9 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | +7 | 18 car · was 11.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 10 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | +6 | 8 car · was 2.0 car |
| 11 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | +5 | 10 car · was 5.0 car |
| 12 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | +5 | 21 car · was 16.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 13 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | +5 | 25 car · was 20.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 14 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | +5 | 22 car · was 17.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 15 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | +5 | 14 car · was 9.0 car · 1 tgt |
Carries vs Week 4. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | -10 | 4 car · was 14.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 2 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | -8 | 1 car · was 9.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 3 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | -7 | 12 car · was 19.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 4 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | -7 | 7 car · was 14.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 5 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | -6 | 9 car · was 15.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 6 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | -5 | 5 car · was 10.0 car |
| 7 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | -5 | 15 car · was 20.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | -5 | 10 car · was 15.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 9 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | -5 | 13 car · was 18.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 10 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | -5 | 3 car · was 8.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 11 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | -5 | 5 car · was 10.0 car |
| 12 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | -4 | 11 car · was 15.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 13 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | -4 | 6 car · was 10.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 14 | Najee Harris | RB | NYG | -4 | 5 car · was 9.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 15 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | -3 | 14 car · was 17.0 car · 4 tgt |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs Week 4 — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | +0.76 | 0.86 this week · 0.10 Week 4 · 10 tgt |
| 2 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | +0.67 | 0.67 this week · 0.00 Week 4 · 7 tgt · 1 car |
| 3 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | +0.65 | 1.00 this week · 0.34 Week 4 · 9 tgt · 1 car |
| 4 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | +0.62 | 0.72 this week · 0.09 Week 4 · 9 tgt · 1 car |
| 5 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | +0.56 | 0.78 this week · 0.22 Week 4 · 8 tgt |
| 6 | Isaiah Bond | WR | CLE | +0.54 | 0.59 this week · 0.05 Week 4 · 7 tgt |
| 7 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | +0.47 | 1.04 this week · 0.57 Week 4 · 24 tgt · 2 car |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | +0.46 | 0.46 this week · 0.00 Week 4 · 9 tgt |
| 9 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | +0.46 | 0.71 this week · 0.25 Week 4 · 7 tgt · 1 car |
| 10 | Charlie Kolar | TE | LAC | +0.44 | 0.44 this week · 0.00 Week 4 · 4 tgt |
| 11 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | +0.41 | 0.71 this week · 0.30 Week 4 · 13 tgt |
| 12 | Keenan Allen | WR | IND | +0.4 | 0.40 this week · 0.00 Week 4 · 9 tgt |
| 13 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | +0.39 | 0.39 this week · 0.00 Week 4 · 4 tgt |
| 14 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | +0.39 | 0.58 this week · 0.19 Week 4 · 6 tgt |
| 15 | Jalen Brooks | WR | ARI | +0.38 | 0.38 this week · 0.00 Week 4 · 7 tgt |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 31 | 6 tgt · 25 car · 21% tgt share |
| 2 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 28 | 4 tgt · 24 car · 14% tgt share |
| 3 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 28 | 3 tgt · 25 car · 10% tgt share |
| 4 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 26 | 24 tgt · 2 car · 44% tgt share |
| 5 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 26 | 1 tgt · 25 car · 6% tgt share |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 26 | 2 tgt · 24 car · 6% tgt share |
| 7 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 25 | 3 tgt · 22 car · 8% tgt share |
| 8 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 24 | 3 tgt · 21 car · 12% tgt share |
| 9 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 24 | 8 tgt · 16 car · 15% tgt share |
| 10 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 24 | 7 tgt · 17 car · 21% tgt share |
| 11 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 22 | 2 tgt · 20 car · 7% tgt share |
| 12 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 21 | 6 tgt · 15 car · 20% tgt share |
| 13 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 20 | 20 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 14 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 20 | 2 tgt · 18 car · 9% tgt share |
| 15 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 19 | 4 tgt · 15 car · 12% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 1.04 | 10 tgt · 37% tgt share |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 1.04 | 24 tgt · 2 car · 44% tgt share |
| 3 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 1 | 9 tgt · 1 car · 36% tgt share |
| 4 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 0.96 | 11 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 5 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 0.91 | 20 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 6 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 0.86 | 10 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 7 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 0.83 | 11 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 8 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 0.82 | 8 tgt · 1 car · 30% tgt share |
| 9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 0.8 | 11 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 10 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 0.78 | 8 tgt · 26% tgt share |
| 11 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 0.75 | 6 tgt · 25% tgt share |
| 12 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 0.72 | 9 tgt · 1 car · 30% tgt share |
| 13 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 0.71 | 13 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 14 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 0.71 | 7 tgt · 1 car · 23% tgt share |
| 15 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 0.71 | 8 tgt · 1 car · 31% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 54 | 40/54 · 383 yd |
| 2 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 54 | 33/54 · 326 yd |
| 3 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 47 | 29/47 · 292 yd |
| 4 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 44 | 24/44 · 267 yd |
| 5 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 42 | 24/42 · 316 yd |
| 6 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 40 | 21/40 · 220 yd |
| 7 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 39 | 24/39 · 331 yd |
| 8 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 36 | 23/36 · 170 yd |
| 9 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 34 | 26/34 · 374 yd |
| 10 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 34 | 26/34 · 261 yd |
| 11 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 33 | 15/33 · 155 yd |
| 12 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 32 | 23/32 · 190 yd |
| 13 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 32 | 24/32 · 201 yd |
| 14 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 32 | 19/32 · 240 yd |
| 15 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 31 | 25/31 · 367 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 22.5 | 3/4 · 90 yd |
| 2 | Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 18 | 4/4 · 72 yd |
| 3 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 17.88 | 6/8 · 143 yd |
| 4 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 17.6 | 5/5 · 88 yd |
| 5 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 17.57 | 6/7 · 123 yd |
| 6 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 15.5 | 4/4 · 62 yd |
| 7 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 14.5 | 6/6 · 87 yd |
| 8 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 13.83 | 5/6 · 83 yd |
| 9 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 13.78 | 6/9 · 124 yd |
| 10 | Evan Engram | TE | DEN | 13.75 | 4/4 · 55 yd |
| 11 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 13.5 | 2/4 · 54 yd |
| 12 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 13.25 | 3/4 · 53 yd |
| 13 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 13 | 4/5 · 65 yd |
| 14 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | 13 | 4/5 · 65 yd |
| 15 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 12.8 | 5/5 · 64 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 12.1 | 10 car · 121 yd |
| 2 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 11.44 | 9 car · 103 yd |
| 3 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 9.25 | 8 car · 74 yd |
| 4 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 7.86 | 21 car · 165 yd |
| 5 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 7.45 | 11 car · 82 yd |
| 6 | Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 7.12 | 8 car · 57 yd |
| 7 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 6.73 | 15 car · 101 yd |
| 8 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 6.18 | 11 car · 68 yd |
| 9 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 6.04 | 25 car · 151 yd |
| 10 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 5.1 | 10 car · 51 yd |
| 11 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 5.06 | 17 car · 86 yd |
| 12 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 4.92 | 13 car · 64 yd |
| 13 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 4.89 | 18 car · 88 yd |
| 14 | Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 4.86 | 14 car · 68 yd |
| 15 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 4.83 | 24 car · 116 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 3.66 | 8 opp · 29.3 FP |
| 2 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 3.04 | 9 opp · 27.4 FP |
| 3 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 2.8 | 7 opp · 19.6 FP |
| 4 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 2.47 | 7 opp · 17.3 FP |
| 5 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 2.38 | 8 opp · 19.0 FP |
| 6 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 2.28 | 10 opp · 22.8 FP |
| 7 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 2.26 | 9 opp · 20.3 FP |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 2.12 | 6 opp · 12.7 FP |
| 9 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 2.12 | 6 opp · 12.7 FP |
| 10 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 2.07 | 13 opp · 26.9 FP |
| 11 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 1.98 | 8 opp · 15.8 FP |
| 12 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 1.9 | 10 opp · 19.0 FP |
| 13 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 1.81 | 11 opp · 19.9 FP |
| 14 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 1.81 | 13 opp · 23.5 FP |
| 15 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 1.8 | 6 opp · 10.8 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 12.94 | 5 tgt · 88 yd |
| 2 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 10.54 | 5 tgt · 65 yd |
| 3 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 10.4 | 13 tgt · 94 yd |
| 4 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 10.38 | 10 tgt · 113 yd |
| 5 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 10.3 | 8 tgt · 143 yd |
| 6 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 10.04 | 9 tgt · 124 yd |
| 7 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 8.63 | 7 tgt · 123 yd |
| 8 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 8.05 | 4 tgt · 47 yd |
| 9 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 8.02 | 6 tgt · 83 yd |
| 10 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 7.46 | 11 tgt · 118 yd |
| 11 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 7.44 | 10 tgt · 66 yd |
| 12 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 6.55 | 4 tgt · 44 yd |
| 13 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 6.4 | 13 tgt · 130 yd |
| 14 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 6.27 | 11 tgt · 104 yd |
| 15 | Efton Chism III | WR | NE | 5.76 | 6 tgt · 57 yd |