CL Fantasy

Projections backed by real models

Walk-forward NFL projections, an editable workbook, and draft-day tools — built to show where the model disagrees with the market.

View the models Edit projections

Credibility

Live numbers from the latest model export.

4
Positions modeled
1,190
Player-seasons back-tested
14/15
Targets beating baseline
2026
Last model refresh

Explore

One product, five surfaces — pick where you want to work.

Models

Walk-forward projections

QB/RB/WR/TE ranges, model-vs-ADP value, and evaluation metrics.

Open → Projections

Editable team workbook

Set per-team lines with model values shadowed in every cell.

Open → Draft

Cheatsheet & live copilot

Rankings, stacks, and a live helper that tracks your board.

Open → Props

Season totals vs Vegas

Sportsbook-unit lines and the biggest model–market gaps.

Open → Reference

Rosters & history

2026 rosters, prior-season totals, and team offense from nflverse.

Open →

How it works

From raw stats to published projections.

01 · Ingest
nflverse data
Rosters, play-by-play, and historical box scores into a versioned store.
02 · Model
Per-position ML
Feature models per stat for QB/RB/WR/TE, plus draft capital for rookies.
03 · Validate
Walk-forward CV
Every season scored out-of-sample against a naive multi-year baseline.
04 · Project
2026 outputs
Calibrated ranges, ADP value, and sportsbook-unit lines — published here.