Tony Pollard
- Opportunity xFP
- 17.8
- Actual
- 35.0
- vs xFP
- +96%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 307 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 35 | 129 rush yd · 3-26 rec · 3 TD |
| 2 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 28.88 | 292 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 28.44 | 321 pass yd · 26 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 26.8 | 13 rush yd · 9-150 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 26.18 | 222 pass yd · 73 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 6 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 26.02 | 208 pass yd · 37 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 7 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 24.48 | 287 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 8 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 23.8 | 6-148 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 23.7 | 8-137 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 23.6 | 5-91 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 23.5 | 106 rush yd · 1-4 rec · 2 TD |
| 12 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 23.28 | 212 pass yd · 8 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 13 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 22.9 | 96 rush yd · 1-8 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 22.7 | 5-62 rec · 2 TD |
| 15 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 22.12 | 308 pass yd · 18 rush yd · 2 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 28.88 | 292 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 2 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 28.44 | 321 pass yd · 26 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 3 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 26.18 | 222 pass yd · 73 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 4 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 26.02 | 208 pass yd · 37 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 5 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 24.48 | 287 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 23.28 | 212 pass yd · 8 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 7 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 22.12 | 308 pass yd · 18 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 8 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 20.42 | 213 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 20.4 | 295 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 10 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 19.22 | 308 pass yd · 19 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 11 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 18.5 | 195 pass yd · -3 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 12 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 18.02 | 303 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 13 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 17.96 | 274 pass yd · 2 TD |
| 14 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 16.52 | 153 pass yd · 4 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 15 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 16.48 | 272 pass yd · 16 rush yd · 1 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 35 | 129 rush yd · 3-26 rec · 3 TD |
| 2 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 23.5 | 106 rush yd · 1-4 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 22.9 | 96 rush yd · 1-8 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 21.5 | 155 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 5 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 20 | 22 rush yd · 5-93 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 19 | 39 rush yd · 6-61 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 18.6 | 124 rush yd · 1--3 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 18 | 95 rush yd · 2-15 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 18 | 100 rush yd · 1-15 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 17.6 | 36 rush yd · 5-55 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 17.6 | 15 rush yd · 8-61 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 17.1 | 99 rush yd · 2-22 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 17 | 78 rush yd · 4-12 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 16.8 | 103 rush yd · 1-0 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 16.6 | 93 rush yd · 1-8 rec · 1 TD |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 26.8 | 13 rush yd · 9-150 rec · 1 TD |
| 2 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 23.8 | 6-148 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 23.7 | 8-137 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 23.6 | 5-91 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 21.9 | 5-74 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 21.7 | 7 rush yd · 4-130 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 20 | 5-115 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 20 | 2-70 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 19.7 | -1 rush yd · 9-153 rec |
| 10 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 19.2 | 23 rush yd · 8-129 rec |
| 11 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 18.8 | 5-103 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 17.8 | 10 rush yd · 8-68 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 16.2 | 7-67 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 16.1 | 7-66 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 14.7 | 5-62 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 22.7 | 5-62 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 22.1 | 10-111 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 16.4 | 7-69 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Davis Allen | TE | LAR | 16 | 4-20 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 13.1 | 3-56 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 12.8 | 4-48 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Darren Waller | TE | CAR | 11.5 | 1-50 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 11.5 | 4-35 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 11.1 | 5-86 rec |
| 10 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 10.8 | 8-88 rec |
| 11 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 10.7 | 5-22 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 10.6 | 7-71 rec |
| 13 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 10.3 | 6-73 rec |
| 14 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 10.1 | 6-91 rec |
| 15 | Drew Sample | TE | CIN | 9.4 | 2-24 rec · 1 TD |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | +17.19 | 35.0 FP vs 17.8 xFP · 3 tgt · 25 car |
| 2 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | +15.84 | 21.7 FP vs 5.9 xFP · 4 tgt · 1 car |
| 3 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | +14.12 | 28.9 FP vs 14.8 xFP · 2 car · 30 att |
| 4 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | +13.3 | 20.0 FP vs 6.7 xFP · 5 tgt |
| 5 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | +12.57 | 23.7 FP vs 11.1 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 6 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | +11.81 | 28.4 FP vs 16.6 xFP · 4 car · 31 att |
| 7 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | +11.73 | 23.6 FP vs 11.9 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 8 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | +11.31 | 22.7 FP vs 11.4 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 9 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | +11.02 | 22.9 FP vs 11.9 xFP · 1 tgt · 17 car |
| 10 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | +10.96 | 26.0 FP vs 15.1 xFP · 8 car · 21 att |
| 11 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | +10.67 | 20.0 FP vs 9.3 xFP · 5 tgt · 6 car |
| 12 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | +9.86 | 23.3 FP vs 13.4 xFP · 2 car · 27 att |
| 13 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | +9.72 | 24.5 FP vs 14.8 xFP · 2 car · 30 att |
| 14 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | +9.69 | 26.8 FP vs 17.1 xFP · 12 tgt · 2 car |
| 15 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | +9.69 | 23.8 FP vs 14.1 xFP · 7 tgt |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | -12.26 | 6.9 FP vs 19.2 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 2 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | -10.3 | 4.2 FP vs 14.5 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 3 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | -9.85 | 16.5 FP vs 26.3 xFP · 7 car · 48 att |
| 4 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | -9.09 | 7.0 FP vs 16.1 xFP · 2 car · 33 att |
| 5 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | -8.46 | 6.7 FP vs 15.2 xFP · 2 car · 31 att |
| 6 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | -8.07 | 6.3 FP vs 14.4 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 7 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | -8.02 | 4.6 FP vs 12.6 xFP · 4 car · 22 att |
| 8 | Jalen Brooks | WR | ARI | -7.13 | 4.0 FP vs 11.1 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 9 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | -6.87 | 5.4 FP vs 12.3 xFP · 2 tgt · 17 car |
| 10 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | -5.93 | 14.8 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 6 tgt · 29 car |
| 11 | Marquise Brown | WR | PHI | -5.73 | 4.0 FP vs 9.7 xFP · 5 tgt |
| 12 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | -5.72 | 2.6 FP vs 8.3 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 13 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | -5.46 | 6.4 FP vs 11.9 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 14 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | -5.29 | 7.4 FP vs 12.7 xFP · 1 car · 27 att |
| 15 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | -5.21 | 16.4 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 12 tgt |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 26.33 | 16.5 FP vs 26.3 xFP · 7 car · 48 att |
| 2 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 21.69 | 20.4 FP vs 21.7 xFP · 3 car · 44 att |
| 3 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 21.61 | 22.1 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 4 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 21.61 | 16.4 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 20.73 | 14.8 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 6 tgt · 29 car |
| 6 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 19.98 | 18.0 FP vs 20.0 xFP · 45 att |
| 7 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 19.95 | 21.9 FP vs 19.9 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 8 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 19.2 | 14.0 FP vs 19.2 xFP · 2 car · 40 att |
| 9 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 19.16 | 6.9 FP vs 19.2 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 10 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 19.02 | 14.8 FP vs 19.0 xFP · 3 car · 38 att |
| 11 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 18.68 | 20.4 FP vs 18.7 xFP · 5 car · 34 att |
| 12 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 18.24 | 22.1 FP vs 18.2 xFP · 5 car · 33 att |
| 13 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 18.14 | 19.2 FP vs 18.1 xFP · 3 car · 36 att |
| 14 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 17.9 | 26.2 FP vs 17.9 xFP · 7 car · 29 att |
| 15 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 17.81 | 35.0 FP vs 17.8 xFP · 3 tgt · 25 car |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs Week 6. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | +29 | 29 car · was 0.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 2 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | +25 | 25 car · was 0.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 3 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | +17 | 17 car · was 0.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 4 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | +17 | 17 car · was 0.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 5 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | +15 | 15 car · was 0.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 6 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | +14 | 25 car · was 11.0 car |
| 7 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | +12 | 14 car · was 2.0 car |
| 8 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | +11 | 11 car · was 0.0 car · 7 tgt |
| 9 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | +11 | 20 car · was 9.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 10 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | +11 | 11 car · was 0.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 11 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | +10 | 24 car · was 14.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 12 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | +9 | 9 car · was 0.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 13 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | +8 | 8 car · was 0.0 car |
| 14 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | +8 | 17 car · was 9.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 15 | Tyler Goodson | RB | DAL | +8 | 10 car · was 2.0 car |
Carries vs Week 6. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | -21 | 7 car · was 28.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 2 | Kendre Miller | RB | NO | -12 | 8 car · was 20.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 3 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | -11 | 6 car · was 17.0 car |
| 4 | Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | -11 | 2 car · was 13.0 car |
| 5 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | -10 | 8 car · was 18.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 6 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | -9 | 7 car · was 16.0 car · 7 tgt |
| 7 | Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | CLE | -9 | 0 car · was 9.0 car |
| 8 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | -8 | 6 car · was 14.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 9 | Bam Knight | RB | ARI | -8 | 7 car · was 15.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 10 | Corey Kiner | RB | NE | -7 | 4 car · was 11.0 car |
| 11 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | -5 | 3 car · was 8.0 car |
| 12 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | -5 | 14 car · was 19.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 13 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | -3 | 18 car · was 21.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 14 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | -3 | 6 car · was 9.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 15 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | -2 | 8 car · was 10.0 car · 8 tgt |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs Week 6 — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | +0.91 | 0.91 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 11 tgt · 1 car |
| 2 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | +0.79 | 0.79 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 7 tgt |
| 3 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | +0.68 | 0.68 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 9 tgt |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | +0.67 | 0.67 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 7 tgt |
| 5 | Marquise Brown | WR | PHI | +0.59 | 0.59 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 5 tgt |
| 6 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | +0.59 | 0.59 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 5 tgt |
| 7 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | +0.58 | 0.58 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 7 tgt |
| 8 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | +0.43 | 0.43 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 5 tgt |
| 9 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | +0.4 | 0.40 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 4 tgt |
| 10 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | +0.4 | 1.22 this week · 0.82 Week 6 · 12 tgt · 2 car |
| 11 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | +0.39 | 0.87 this week · 0.48 Week 6 · 12 tgt |
| 12 | Davis Allen | TE | LAR | +0.38 | 0.38 this week · 0.00 Week 6 · 5 tgt |
| 13 | Elic Ayomanor | WR | TEN | +0.37 | 0.56 this week · 0.18 Week 6 · 7 tgt |
| 14 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | +0.37 | 0.44 this week · 0.07 Week 6 · 4 tgt |
| 15 | Jordan Watkins | WR | SF | +0.35 | 0.45 this week · 0.10 Week 6 · 6 tgt |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 35 | 6 tgt · 29 car · 19% tgt share |
| 2 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 28 | 3 tgt · 25 car · 10% tgt share |
| 3 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 28 | 3 tgt · 25 car · 14% tgt share |
| 4 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 26 | 2 tgt · 24 car · 18% tgt share |
| 5 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 26 | 4 tgt · 22 car · 13% tgt share |
| 6 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 25 | 25 car · 0% tgt share |
| 7 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 25 | 1 tgt · 24 car · 4% tgt share |
| 8 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 25 | 5 tgt · 20 car · 16% tgt share |
| 9 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 24 | 7 tgt · 17 car · 24% tgt share |
| 10 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 22 | 4 tgt · 18 car · 14% tgt share |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 21 | 3 tgt · 18 car · 14% tgt share |
| 12 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 20 | 1 tgt · 19 car · 4% tgt share |
| 13 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 19 | 5 tgt · 14 car · 16% tgt share |
| 14 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 19 | 2 tgt · 17 car · 6% tgt share |
| 15 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 18 | 1 tgt · 17 car · 3% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 1.22 | 12 tgt · 2 car · 44% tgt share |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 1.04 | 12 tgt · 46% tgt share |
| 3 | Tez Johnson | WR | TB | 1 | 2 tgt · 1 car · 18% tgt share |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 0.91 | 11 tgt · 1 car · 35% tgt share |
| 5 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 0.87 | 12 tgt · 40% tgt share |
| 6 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 0.82 | 9 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 7 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 0.79 | 7 tgt · 25% tgt share |
| 8 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 0.77 | 10 tgt · 26% tgt share |
| 9 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 0.77 | 10 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 10 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 0.76 | 10 tgt · 2 car · 34% tgt share |
| 11 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 0.73 | 6 tgt · 21% tgt share |
| 12 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 0.69 | 10 tgt · 3 car · 29% tgt share |
| 13 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 0.68 | 12 tgt · 29% tgt share |
| 14 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 0.68 | 13 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 15 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 0.68 | 9 tgt · 29% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 48 | 27/48 · 272 yd |
| 2 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 45 | 27/45 · 274 yd |
| 3 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 44 | 26/44 · 295 yd |
| 4 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 40 | 27/40 · 288 yd |
| 5 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 38 | 30/38 · 278 yd |
| 6 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 36 | 25/36 · 308 yd |
| 7 | Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | 35 | 23/35 · 211 yd |
| 8 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 34 | 25/34 · 213 yd |
| 9 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 34 | 23/34 · 298 yd |
| 10 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 33 | 22/33 · 308 yd |
| 11 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 33 | 19/33 · 165 yd |
| 12 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 32 | 22/32 · 303 yd |
| 13 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 31 | 24/31 · 321 yd |
| 14 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 31 | 20/31 · 181 yd |
| 15 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 30 | 22/30 · 292 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 32.5 | 4/4 · 130 yd |
| 2 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 23 | 5/5 · 115 yd |
| 3 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 21.14 | 6/7 · 148 yd |
| 4 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 18.6 | 5/5 · 93 yd |
| 5 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 17.5 | 4/4 · 70 yd |
| 6 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 17.2 | 5/5 · 86 yd |
| 7 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 16.6 | 4/5 · 83 yd |
| 8 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 14 | 3/4 · 56 yd |
| 9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 13.91 | 9/11 · 153 yd |
| 10 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 13.8 | 4/5 · 69 yd |
| 11 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 12.9 | 8/10 · 129 yd |
| 12 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 12.5 | 9/12 · 150 yd |
| 13 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 12.45 | 8/11 · 137 yd |
| 14 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 12.33 | 7/9 · 111 yd |
| 15 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 11.8 | 5/5 · 59 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 7.29 | 17 car · 124 yd |
| 2 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 6.29 | 14 car · 88 yd |
| 3 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 6.2 | 25 car · 155 yd |
| 4 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 6.19 | 16 car · 99 yd |
| 5 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 6.12 | 17 car · 104 yd |
| 6 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 6 | 9 car · 54 yd |
| 7 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 5.65 | 17 car · 96 yd |
| 8 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 5.61 | 18 car · 101 yd |
| 9 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 5.47 | 17 car · 93 yd |
| 10 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 5.28 | 18 car · 95 yd |
| 11 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 5.25 | 12 car · 63 yd |
| 12 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 5.16 | 25 car · 129 yd |
| 13 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 4.62 | 8 car · 37 yd |
| 14 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 4.56 | 9 car · 41 yd |
| 15 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 4.53 | 15 car · 68 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 3.78 | 6 opp · 22.7 FP |
| 2 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 3.4 | 7 opp · 23.8 FP |
| 3 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 2.62 | 9 opp · 23.6 FP |
| 4 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 2.28 | 6 opp · 13.7 FP |
| 5 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 2.15 | 11 opp · 23.7 FP |
| 6 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 2.13 | 6 opp · 12.8 FP |
| 7 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 2.1 | 7 opp · 14.7 FP |
| 8 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 2.02 | 8 opp · 16.2 FP |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 1.91 | 14 opp · 26.8 FP |
| 10 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 1.82 | 12 opp · 21.9 FP |
| 11 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 1.82 | 11 opp · 20.0 FP |
| 12 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 1.7 | 13 opp · 22.1 FP |
| 13 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 1.64 | 12 opp · 19.7 FP |
| 14 | Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 1.62 | 8 opp · 13.0 FP |
| 15 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 1.62 | 9 opp · 14.6 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 12.75 | 4 tgt · 130 yd |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 12.44 | 12 tgt · 150 yd |
| 3 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 11.94 | 7 tgt · 148 yd |
| 4 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 9.22 | 5 tgt · 115 yd |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 8.85 | 11 tgt · 153 yd |
| 6 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 8.81 | 5 tgt · 86 yd |
| 7 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 8.68 | 5 tgt · 93 yd |
| 8 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 8.26 | 5 tgt · 54 yd |
| 9 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 8.09 | 5 tgt · 83 yd |
| 10 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 7.79 | 10 tgt · 129 yd |
| 11 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 6.97 | 10 tgt · 66 yd |
| 12 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 6.72 | 6 tgt · 48 yd |
| 13 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 6.63 | 8 tgt · 67 yd |
| 14 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 6.47 | 13 tgt · 111 yd |
| 15 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 6.31 | 5 tgt · 69 yd |