D'Andre Swift
- Opportunity xFP
- 12.3
- Actual
- 31.9
- vs xFP
- +159%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 360 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 37.26 | 269 pass yd · 65 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 2 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 35.66 | 334 pass yd · 23 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 34.8 | 144 rush yd · 1-19 rec · 3 TD |
| 4 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 32.6 | 173 rush yd · 3-18 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 32.44 | 361 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 6 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 31.9 | 124 rush yd · 1-10 rec · 3 TD |
| 7 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 31.1 | 156 rush yd · 5-30 rec · 2 TD |
| 8 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 29.8 | 8-138 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 29.7 | 6-147 rec · 2 TD |
| 10 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 29.7 | 102 rush yd · 6-45 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 27.4 | 60 rush yd · 3-19 rec · 3 TD |
| 12 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 27.3 | 83 rush yd · 8-90 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 27.2 | 8-92 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 26.6 | 230 pass yd · 54 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 15 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 26.1 | 245 pass yd · 3 rush yd · 4 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 37.26 | 269 pass yd · 65 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 2 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 35.66 | 334 pass yd · 23 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 32.44 | 361 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 4 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 26.6 | 230 pass yd · 54 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 5 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 26.1 | 245 pass yd · 3 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 6 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 25.2 | 410 pass yd · 8 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 7 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 24.96 | 324 pass yd · 40 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 8 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 24.72 | 203 pass yd · 46 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 22.66 | 184 pass yd · 23 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 10 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 22.1 | 205 pass yd · 29 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 11 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 20.48 | 387 pass yd · 2 TD |
| 12 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 19.22 | 133 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 13 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 17.7 | 220 pass yd · 39 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 14 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 17.66 | 164 pass yd · 31 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 15 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 16.48 | 277 pass yd · 14 rush yd · 1 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 34.8 | 144 rush yd · 1-19 rec · 3 TD |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 32.6 | 173 rush yd · 3-18 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 31.9 | 124 rush yd · 1-10 rec · 3 TD |
| 4 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 31.1 | 156 rush yd · 5-30 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 29.7 | 102 rush yd · 6-45 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 27.4 | 60 rush yd · 3-19 rec · 3 TD |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 27.3 | 83 rush yd · 8-90 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 23.6 | 98 rush yd · 3-23 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 22.2 | 49 rush yd · 3-38 rec · 2 TD |
| 10 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 21.7 | 41 rush yd · 5-31 rec · 2 TD |
| 11 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 19.4 | 100 rush yd · 2-24 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 18.8 | 102 rush yd · 2-16 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 16.8 | 45 rush yd · 7-48 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 16.3 | 56 rush yd · 5-22 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 14.1 | 81 rush yd · 1 TD |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 29.8 | 8-138 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 29.7 | 6-147 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 27.2 | 8-92 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 23.7 | 10-67 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 23.5 | 5-150 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 23.2 | 10-182 rec |
| 7 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 22.2 | 8-122 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 18.5 | 5-100 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 17.7 | 7 rush yd · 7-75 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 16.8 | 5-83 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 16.7 | 5-82 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 16.4 | 7-69 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 15 | 12 rush yd · 6-48 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 14.4 | 4-64 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 14.3 | 2-73 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 23.8 | 8-78 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 21.7 | 4-77 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 20 | 9-95 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 16.3 | 5-78 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 15.5 | 5-130 rec |
| 6 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 13.1 | 5-46 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 12.9 | 3-54 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Evan Engram | TE | DEN | 12.3 | 4-43 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 11.6 | 4-36 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Noah Fant | TE | NO | 11.3 | 4-33 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | 10.5 | 2-35 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 9.9 | 3 rush yd · 3-21 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 9.3 | 2-23 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 8.8 | 3-13 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 8.6 | 3-71 rec |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | +19.6 | 31.9 FP vs 12.3 xFP · 1 tgt · 18 car |
| 2 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | +19.2 | 34.8 FP vs 15.6 xFP · 1 tgt · 24 car |
| 3 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | +18.48 | 35.7 FP vs 17.2 xFP · 6 car · 29 att |
| 4 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | +17.21 | 37.3 FP vs 20.1 xFP · 10 car · 29 att |
| 5 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | +15.98 | 27.2 FP vs 11.2 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 6 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | +15.7 | 29.7 FP vs 14.0 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 7 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | +15.41 | 29.8 FP vs 14.4 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 8 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +14.71 | 32.6 FP vs 17.9 xFP · 6 tgt · 23 car |
| 9 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | +14.58 | 32.4 FP vs 17.9 xFP · 2 car · 37 att |
| 10 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | +14.45 | 26.1 FP vs 11.7 xFP · 2 car · 23 att |
| 11 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | +13.31 | 23.5 FP vs 10.2 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 12 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | +12.54 | 27.4 FP vs 14.9 xFP · 3 tgt · 20 car |
| 13 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | +12.33 | 22.2 FP vs 9.9 xFP · 3 tgt · 10 car |
| 14 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | +12.17 | 21.7 FP vs 9.5 xFP · 5 tgt · 12 car |
| 15 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | +12.07 | 21.7 FP vs 9.6 xFP · 5 tgt |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | -14.76 | 6.0 FP vs 20.8 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 2 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | -9.77 | 4.8 FP vs 14.6 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 3 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | -8.61 | 4.1 FP vs 12.7 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 4 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | -8.14 | 6.4 FP vs 14.6 xFP · 3 car · 28 att |
| 5 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | -8.1 | 6.5 FP vs 14.6 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 6 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | -7.44 | 5.1 FP vs 12.5 xFP · 2 car · 25 att |
| 7 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | -7.37 | 12.5 FP vs 19.9 xFP · 3 car · 40 att |
| 8 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | -6.85 | 12.8 FP vs 19.7 xFP · 7 car · 33 att |
| 9 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | -6.83 | 4.3 FP vs 11.1 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 10 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | -6.77 | 3.7 FP vs 10.5 xFP · 1 tgt · 13 car |
| 11 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | -5.86 | 8.0 FP vs 13.9 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 12 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | -5.66 | 9.3 FP vs 15.0 xFP · 6 car · 24 att |
| 13 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | -5.42 | 8.0 FP vs 13.4 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 14 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | -5.38 | 11.7 FP vs 17.1 xFP · 4 car · 32 att |
| 15 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | -5.32 | 3.1 FP vs 8.4 xFP · 5 tgt · 8 car |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 27.73 | 25.2 FP vs 27.7 xFP · 4 car · 56 att |
| 2 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 24.74 | 23.2 FP vs 24.7 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 3 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 20.88 | 31.1 FP vs 20.9 xFP · 5 tgt · 29 car |
| 4 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 20.77 | 26.6 FP vs 20.8 xFP · 11 car · 29 att |
| 5 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 20.76 | 6.0 FP vs 20.8 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 6 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 20.73 | 16.5 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 6 car · 37 att |
| 7 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 20.05 | 37.3 FP vs 20.1 xFP · 10 car · 29 att |
| 8 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 19.91 | 12.5 FP vs 19.9 xFP · 3 car · 40 att |
| 9 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 19.77 | 29.7 FP vs 19.8 xFP · 6 tgt · 23 car |
| 10 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 19.67 | 12.8 FP vs 19.7 xFP · 7 car · 33 att |
| 11 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 19.62 | 20.0 FP vs 19.6 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 12 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 19.37 | 20.5 FP vs 19.4 xFP · 1 car · 42 att |
| 13 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 19.13 | 15.2 FP vs 19.1 xFP · 5 car · 35 att |
| 14 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 18.75 | 16.4 FP vs 18.8 xFP · 2 car · 39 att |
| 15 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 18.68 | 22.1 FP vs 18.7 xFP · 5 car · 34 att |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs 2025 season, per game in the baseline. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | +14.71 | 29 car · was 14.3 car · 5 tgt |
| 2 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | +14 | 14 car · was 0.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 3 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | +13 | 13 car · was 0.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 4 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | +11 | 11 car · was 0.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 5 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | +10.71 | 20 car · was 9.3 car · 3 tgt |
| 6 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +10 | 23 car · was 13.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 7 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | +10 | 10 car · was 0.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 8 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | +9.47 | 15 car · was 5.5 car · 1 tgt |
| 9 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | +8.71 | 18 car · was 9.3 car · 6 tgt |
| 10 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | +8.59 | 17 car · was 8.4 car · 2 tgt |
| 11 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | +8 | 8 car · was 0.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 12 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | +7.35 | 23 car · was 15.6 car · 6 tgt |
| 13 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | +6.81 | 22 car · was 15.2 car · 2 tgt |
| 14 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | +5.94 | 24 car · was 18.1 car · 1 tgt |
| 15 | George Holani | RB | SEA | +5.8 | 8 car · was 2.2 car · 1 tgt |
Carries vs 2025 season. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | -9.73 | 2 car · was 11.7 car |
| 2 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | -9.3 | 8 car · was 17.3 car · 7 tgt |
| 3 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | -8.29 | 10 car · was 18.3 car · 8 tgt |
| 4 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | -7.3 | 8 car · was 15.3 car |
| 5 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | -7.24 | 7 car · was 14.2 car · 2 tgt |
| 6 | Travis Etienne | RB | NO | -6.29 | 9 car · was 15.3 car · 9 tgt |
| 7 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | -5.88 | 8 car · was 13.9 car · 5 tgt |
| 8 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | -5.59 | 3 car · was 8.6 car · 4 tgt |
| 9 | James Cook | RB | BUF | -5.18 | 13 car · was 18.2 car · 4 tgt |
| 10 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | -4.43 | 12 car · was 16.4 car · 2 tgt |
| 11 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | -4.24 | 11 car · was 15.2 car · 3 tgt |
| 12 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | -3.88 | 11 car · was 14.9 car · 5 tgt |
| 13 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | -3.75 | 12 car · was 15.8 car · 5 tgt |
| 14 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | -3.33 | 6 car · was 9.3 car |
| 15 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | -3.29 | 5 car · was 8.3 car |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs 2025 season — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | +0.62 | 0.62 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 4 tgt |
| 2 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | +0.61 | 0.61 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 7 tgt |
| 3 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | +0.57 | 0.57 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 6 tgt |
| 4 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | +0.54 | 0.66 this week · 0.12 2025 season · 9 tgt |
| 5 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | +0.53 | 0.53 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 5 tgt · 3 car |
| 6 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | +0.46 | 0.75 this week · 0.29 2025 season · 8 tgt |
| 7 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | +0.41 | 0.41 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 4 tgt |
| 8 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | +0.34 | 0.72 this week · 0.38 2025 season · 8 tgt |
| 9 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | +0.33 | 0.65 this week · 0.32 2025 season · 12 tgt |
| 10 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | +0.33 | 0.60 this week · 0.26 2025 season · 8 tgt |
| 11 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | +0.33 | 0.33 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 4 tgt |
| 12 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | +0.28 | 0.72 this week · 0.44 2025 season · 6 tgt |
| 13 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | +0.27 | 0.27 this week · 0.00 2025 season · 4 tgt |
| 14 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | +0.27 | 0.78 this week · 0.50 2025 season · 9 tgt |
| 15 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | +0.26 | 0.63 this week · 0.37 2025 season · 9 tgt |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 34 | 5 tgt · 29 car · 13% tgt share |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 31 | 10 tgt · 21 car · 53% tgt share |
| 3 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 29 | 6 tgt · 23 car · 24% tgt share |
| 4 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 29 | 6 tgt · 23 car · 21% tgt share |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 25 | 1 tgt · 24 car · 4% tgt share |
| 6 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 24 | 2 tgt · 22 car · 9% tgt share |
| 7 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 24 | 6 tgt · 18 car · 19% tgt share |
| 8 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 23 | 3 tgt · 20 car · 8% tgt share |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 23 | 4 tgt · 19 car · 14% tgt share |
| 10 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 22 | 6 tgt · 16 car · 18% tgt share |
| 11 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 19 | 1 tgt · 18 car · 4% tgt share |
| 12 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 19 | 2 tgt · 17 car · 5% tgt share |
| 13 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 18 | 18 car · 0% tgt share |
| 14 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 18 | 8 tgt · 10 car · 24% tgt share |
| 15 | Travis Etienne | RB | NO | 18 | 9 tgt · 9 car · 17% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 1.03 | 11 tgt · 46% tgt share |
| 2 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 0.91 | 9 tgt · 39% tgt share |
| 3 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 0.82 | 9 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 4 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 0.78 | 7 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 5 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 0.78 | 9 tgt · 23% tgt share |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 0.78 | 14 tgt · 36% tgt share |
| 7 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 0.76 | 9 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 8 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 0.76 | 10 tgt · 27% tgt share |
| 9 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 0.75 | 8 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 10 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 0.75 | 13 tgt · 35% tgt share |
| 11 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 0.74 | 6 tgt · 22% tgt share |
| 12 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 0.72 | 6 tgt · 29% tgt share |
| 13 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 0.72 | 8 tgt · 29% tgt share |
| 14 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 0.71 | 13 tgt · 25% tgt share |
| 15 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 0.71 | 3 tgt · 16% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 56 | 35/56 · 410 yd |
| 2 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 42 | 21/42 · 387 yd |
| 3 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 40 | 24/40 · 221 yd |
| 4 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 39 | 26/39 · 206 yd |
| 5 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 38 | 26/38 · 274 yd |
| 6 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 37 | 23/37 · 361 yd |
| 7 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 37 | 27/37 · 277 yd |
| 8 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 35 | 25/35 · 254 yd |
| 9 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 34 | 25/34 · 205 yd |
| 10 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 34 | 18/34 · 164 yd |
| 11 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 34 | 22/34 · 175 yd |
| 12 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 33 | 23/33 · 178 yd |
| 13 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 32 | 19/32 · 140 yd |
| 14 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 31 | 19/31 · 166 yd |
| 15 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 30 | 21/30 · 160 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 25 | 5/6 · 150 yd |
| 2 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 21.67 | 5/6 · 130 yd |
| 3 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 18.38 | 6/8 · 147 yd |
| 4 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 18.25 | 2/4 · 73 yd |
| 5 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 16 | 4/4 · 64 yd |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 15.4 | 4/5 · 77 yd |
| 7 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 15.33 | 8/9 · 138 yd |
| 8 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 14.75 | 2/4 · 59 yd |
| 9 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 14.2 | 3/5 · 71 yd |
| 10 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 14 | 10/13 · 182 yd |
| 11 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 13.83 | 5/6 · 83 yd |
| 12 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 13.43 | 5/7 · 94 yd |
| 13 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 12.6 | 5/5 · 63 yd |
| 14 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 12.5 | 5/8 · 100 yd |
| 15 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 11.71 | 5/7 · 82 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 10 | 10 car · 100 yd |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 7.52 | 23 car · 173 yd |
| 3 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 6.89 | 18 car · 124 yd |
| 4 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 6.8 | 10 car · 68 yd |
| 5 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 6.5 | 10 car · 65 yd |
| 6 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 6 | 24 car · 144 yd |
| 7 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 5.62 | 8 car · 45 yd |
| 8 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 5.53 | 15 car · 83 yd |
| 9 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 5.4 | 10 car · 54 yd |
| 10 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 5.38 | 29 car · 156 yd |
| 11 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 5.2 | 10 car · 52 yd |
| 12 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 5.16 | 19 car · 98 yd |
| 13 | Travis Etienne | RB | NO | 5.11 | 9 car · 46 yd |
| 14 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 4.91 | 11 car · 54 yd |
| 15 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 4.9 | 10 car · 49 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 3.92 | 6 opp · 23.5 FP |
| 2 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 3.71 | 8 opp · 29.7 FP |
| 3 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 3.31 | 9 opp · 29.8 FP |
| 4 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 3.02 | 9 opp · 27.2 FP |
| 5 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 2.98 | 8 opp · 23.8 FP |
| 6 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 2.8 | 6 opp · 16.8 FP |
| 7 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 2.58 | 6 opp · 15.5 FP |
| 8 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 2.39 | 7 opp · 16.7 FP |
| 9 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 2.33 | 7 opp · 16.3 FP |
| 10 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 2.31 | 8 opp · 18.5 FP |
| 11 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 2.02 | 11 opp · 22.2 FP |
| 12 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 1.99 | 7 opp · 13.9 FP |
| 13 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 1.88 | 8 opp · 15.0 FP |
| 14 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 1.84 | 7 opp · 12.9 FP |
| 15 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 1.82 | 9 opp · 16.4 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 13.71 | 13 tgt · 182 yd |
| 2 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 13.05 | 6 tgt · 150 yd |
| 3 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 12.5 | 9 tgt · 92 yd |
| 4 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 12.46 | 9 tgt · 138 yd |
| 5 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 11.03 | 8 tgt · 78 yd |
| 6 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 8.81 | 4 tgt · 64 yd |
| 7 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 8.76 | 6 tgt · 83 yd |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 8.3 | 5 tgt · 77 yd |
| 9 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 8.19 | 7 tgt · 49 yd |
| 10 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 7.68 | 11 tgt · 122 yd |
| 11 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 7.64 | 6 tgt · 130 yd |
| 12 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 6.88 | 8 tgt · 147 yd |
| 13 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 6.86 | 7 tgt · 78 yd |
| 14 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 6.79 | 7 tgt · 82 yd |
| 15 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 6.47 | 9 tgt · 84 yd |