Jahmyr Gibbs
- Opportunity xFP
- 17.8
- Actual
- 37.9
- vs xFP
- +113%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 367 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 37.9 | 99 rush yd · 7-65 rec · 3 TD |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 34.3 | 194 rush yd · 2-19 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 31.28 | 297 pass yd · 34 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 30.36 | 14 pass yd · 10-128 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 29.66 | 379 pass yd · 5 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 6 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 26.04 | 321 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 7 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 25.6 | 280 pass yd · 4 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 8 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 25.14 | 186 pass yd · 7 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 24.8 | 255 pass yd · 36 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 10 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | 24.48 | 247 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 11 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 23.9 | 9-194 rec |
| 12 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 23.68 | 292 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 13 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 23.2 | 6-82 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 22.9 | 390 pass yd · 13 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 15 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 22.6 | 10-116 rec · 1 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 31.28 | 297 pass yd · 34 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 2 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 29.66 | 379 pass yd · 5 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 26.04 | 321 pass yd · 12 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 4 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 25.6 | 280 pass yd · 4 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 5 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 25.14 | 186 pass yd · 7 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 6 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 24.8 | 255 pass yd · 36 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 7 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | 24.48 | 247 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 8 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 23.68 | 292 pass yd · 10 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 22.9 | 390 pass yd · 13 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 10 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 22.58 | 282 pass yd · 13 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 11 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 22.22 | 248 pass yd · 3 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 12 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 20.78 | 182 pass yd · 25 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 13 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 20.44 | 186 pass yd · 50 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 14 | Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | 20.42 | 183 pass yd · 11 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 15 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 20.26 | 144 pass yd · 45 rush yd · 2 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 37.9 | 99 rush yd · 7-65 rec · 3 TD |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 34.3 | 194 rush yd · 2-19 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 21.4 | 89 rush yd · 1-0 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 20.3 | 70 rush yd · 2-3 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 19.6 | 75 rush yd · 4-41 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 19.4 | 154 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 7 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 19.4 | 90 rush yd · 5-19 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 19.1 | 127 rush yd · 3-49 rec |
| 9 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 18.8 | 88 rush yd · 6-70 rec |
| 10 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 17.3 | 98 rush yd · 2-5 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 16 | 73 rush yd · 2-17 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 13 | 82 rush yd · 4-28 rec |
| 13 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 13 | 41 rush yd · 3-14 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 12.2 | 52 rush yd · 3--5 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 11.7 | 58 rush yd · 5-34 rec |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 30.36 | 14 pass yd · 10-128 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 23.9 | 9-194 rec |
| 3 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 21.7 | 10-107 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 20.4 | 11-89 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 20.3 | 9-98 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 19.1 | 7-96 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 18.5 | 5-100 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 18 | 6-90 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 18 | 6-90 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 17.5 | 5-90 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | 17.3 | 4-93 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 17.2 | 7-137 rec |
| 13 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 16.7 | 6-77 rec · 1 TD |
| 14 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 16.7 | 7-112 rec |
| 15 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 16.3 | 7 rush yd · 7-61 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 23.2 | 6-82 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 22.6 | 10-116 rec · 1 TD |
| 3 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 20.6 | 7-51 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 20 | 7-105 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 19.3 | 8-53 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | Noah Fant | TE | NO | 17.3 | 4-33 rec · 2 TD |
| 7 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 16.2 | 8-62 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 12.9 | 2-59 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Jeremy Ruckert | TE | NYJ | 12.4 | 5-39 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 12 | 9-75 rec |
| 11 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 11.2 | 3-37 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 10.7 | 3-32 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 10.2 | 2 rush yd · 9-55 rec |
| 14 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 9.4 | 5-69 rec |
| 15 | Matthew Hibner | TE | BAL | 9.3 | 2-23 rec · 1 TD |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | +20.12 | 37.9 FP vs 17.8 xFP · 8 tgt · 20 car |
| 2 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | +17.86 | 31.3 FP vs 13.4 xFP · 2 car · 27 att |
| 3 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | +15.8 | 34.3 FP vs 18.5 xFP · 2 tgt · 29 car |
| 4 | Noah Fant | TE | NO | +12.95 | 17.3 FP vs 4.3 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 5 | George Kittle | TE | SF | +11.92 | 23.2 FP vs 11.3 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 6 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | +11.9 | 19.3 FP vs 7.4 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 7 | Drake London | WR | ATL | +10.85 | 23.9 FP vs 13.1 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 8 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | +10.55 | 30.4 FP vs 19.8 xFP · 14 tgt · 1 att |
| 9 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | +9.58 | 18.0 FP vs 8.4 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 10 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | +8.96 | 29.7 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 1 car · 45 att |
| 11 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | +8.43 | 20.3 FP vs 11.9 xFP · 2 tgt · 18 car |
| 12 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | +8.18 | 26.0 FP vs 17.9 xFP · 2 car · 37 att |
| 13 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | +7.62 | 12.9 FP vs 5.3 xFP · 2 tgt |
| 14 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | +7.26 | 20.4 FP vs 13.2 xFP · 6 car · 20 att |
| 15 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | +7.17 | 25.1 FP vs 18.0 xFP · 4 car · 34 att |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | -11.44 | 11.0 FP vs 22.4 xFP · 9 car · 36 att |
| 2 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | -9.24 | 8.9 FP vs 18.1 xFP · 3 car · 36 att |
| 3 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | -8.86 | 10.2 FP vs 19.1 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 4 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | -8.22 | 4.8 FP vs 13.0 xFP · 1 tgt · 19 car |
| 5 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | -8.21 | 5.8 FP vs 14.0 xFP · 4 car · 25 att |
| 6 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | -7.92 | 3.2 FP vs 11.1 xFP · 8 tgt |
| 7 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | -7.03 | 17.2 FP vs 24.2 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 8 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | -7 | 8.6 FP vs 15.6 xFP · 10 tgt · 2 car |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | -6.85 | 8.2 FP vs 15.1 xFP · 3 tgt · 23 car |
| 10 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | -6.76 | 7.0 FP vs 13.8 xFP · 6 tgt · 2 car |
| 11 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | -6.68 | 11.5 FP vs 18.2 xFP · 4 tgt · 20 car |
| 12 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | -6.67 | 14.6 FP vs 21.3 xFP · 48 att |
| 13 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | -6.36 | 6.8 FP vs 13.2 xFP · 4 tgt · 15 car |
| 14 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | -6.26 | 10.4 FP vs 16.7 xFP · 1 car · 36 att |
| 15 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | -6.22 | 4.3 FP vs 10.5 xFP · 5 tgt |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 25.96 | 25.6 FP vs 26.0 xFP · 4 car · 52 att |
| 2 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 25.86 | 22.9 FP vs 25.9 xFP · 2 car · 55 att |
| 3 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 24.25 | 19.5 FP vs 24.2 xFP · 1 car · 53 att |
| 4 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 24.23 | 17.2 FP vs 24.2 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 5 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 22.44 | 11.0 FP vs 22.4 xFP · 9 car · 36 att |
| 6 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 21.97 | 20.4 FP vs 22.0 xFP · 17 tgt |
| 7 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 21.61 | 22.6 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 8 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 21.61 | 18.5 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 9 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 21.31 | 14.6 FP vs 21.3 xFP · 48 att |
| 10 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 21.21 | 20.3 FP vs 21.2 xFP · 11 car · 30 att |
| 11 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 20.7 | 29.7 FP vs 20.7 xFP · 1 car · 45 att |
| 12 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 20.63 | 18.9 FP vs 20.6 xFP · 4 car · 40 att |
| 13 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 19.81 | 30.4 FP vs 19.8 xFP · 14 tgt · 1 att |
| 14 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 19.37 | 24.8 FP vs 19.4 xFP · 1 car · 42 att |
| 15 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 19.06 | 10.2 FP vs 19.1 xFP · 11 tgt |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs Week 2. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | +14 | 17 car · was 3.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | +13 | 29 car · was 16.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 3 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | +12 | 21 car · was 9.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 4 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | +11 | 15 car · was 4.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | +10 | 26 car · was 16.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 6 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | +8 | 20 car · was 12.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 7 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | +7 | 19 car · was 12.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 8 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | +7 | 19 car · was 12.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 9 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | +7 | 9 car · was 2.0 car |
| 10 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | +7 | 17 car · was 10.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 11 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | +7 | 19 car · was 12.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 12 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | +6 | 17 car · was 11.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 13 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | +6 | 18 car · was 12.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 14 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | +5 | 15 car · was 10.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 15 | Travis Etienne | RB | NO | +5 | 13 car · was 8.0 car · 2 tgt |
Carries vs Week 2. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | -17 | 3 car · was 20.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 2 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | -13 | 0 car · was 13.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 3 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | -12 | 9 car · was 21.0 car |
| 4 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | -8 | 1 car · was 9.0 car |
| 5 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | -8 | 15 car · was 23.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 6 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | -8 | 8 car · was 16.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 7 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | -8 | 5 car · was 13.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 8 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | -7 | 13 car · was 20.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 9 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | -6 | 18 car · was 24.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | -6 | 8 car · was 14.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 11 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | -6 | 17 car · was 23.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 12 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | -6 | 6 car · was 12.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 13 | Kaleb Johnson | RB | GB | -4 | 4 car · was 8.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 14 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | -3 | 5 car · was 8.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 15 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | -3 | 13 car · was 16.0 car · 3 tgt |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs Week 2 — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | +0.92 | 0.92 this week · 0.00 Week 2 · 13 tgt |
| 2 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | +0.91 | 0.91 this week · 0.00 Week 2 · 10 tgt |
| 3 | Drake London | WR | ATL | +0.76 | 1.11 this week · 0.34 Week 2 · 10 tgt |
| 4 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | +0.66 | 0.66 this week · 0.00 Week 2 · 6 tgt · 1 car |
| 5 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | +0.59 | 0.69 this week · 0.10 Week 2 · 8 tgt |
| 6 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | +0.58 | 0.91 this week · 0.33 Week 2 · 9 tgt |
| 7 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | +0.54 | 0.66 this week · 0.12 Week 2 · 11 tgt |
| 8 | Mack Hollins | WR | NE | +0.5 | 0.68 this week · 0.19 Week 2 · 9 tgt |
| 9 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | +0.44 | 0.44 this week · 0.00 Week 2 · 11 tgt |
| 10 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | +0.41 | 0.52 this week · 0.11 Week 2 · 7 tgt |
| 11 | Brycen Tremayne | WR | CAR | +0.38 | 0.38 this week · 0.00 Week 2 · 6 tgt |
| 12 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | +0.37 | 0.96 this week · 0.59 Week 2 · 9 tgt |
| 13 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | +0.37 | 0.45 this week · 0.08 Week 2 · 4 tgt |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | +0.36 | 0.65 this week · 0.29 Week 2 · 7 tgt |
| 15 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | +0.36 | 0.50 this week · 0.15 Week 2 · 8 tgt |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 31 | 2 tgt · 29 car · 9% tgt share |
| 2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 28 | 8 tgt · 20 car · 26% tgt share |
| 3 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 27 | 1 tgt · 26 car · 5% tgt share |
| 4 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 26 | 5 tgt · 21 car · 10% tgt share |
| 5 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 26 | 3 tgt · 23 car · 9% tgt share |
| 6 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 25 | 1 tgt · 24 car · 4% tgt share |
| 7 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 24 | 4 tgt · 20 car · 19% tgt share |
| 8 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 23 | 4 tgt · 19 car · 10% tgt share |
| 9 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 23 | 6 tgt · 17 car · 24% tgt share |
| 10 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 23 | 3 tgt · 20 car · 9% tgt share |
| 11 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 22 | 7 tgt · 15 car · 14% tgt share |
| 12 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 22 | 3 tgt · 19 car · 8% tgt share |
| 13 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 22 | 3 tgt · 19 car · 10% tgt share |
| 14 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 21 | 4 tgt · 17 car · 13% tgt share |
| 15 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 21 | 4 tgt · 17 car · 11% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 1.11 | 10 tgt · 43% tgt share |
| 2 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 0.96 | 9 tgt · 36% tgt share |
| 3 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 0.92 | 13 tgt · 43% tgt share |
| 4 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 0.91 | 9 tgt · 39% tgt share |
| 5 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 0.91 | 10 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 6 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 0.9 | 11 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 7 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 0.87 | 17 tgt · 34% tgt share |
| 8 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 0.83 | 14 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 9 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 0.83 | 13 tgt · 36% tgt share |
| 10 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 0.79 | 13 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 11 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 0.76 | 9 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 12 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 0.76 | 9 tgt · 30% tgt share |
| 13 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 0.75 | 12 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 14 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 0.73 | 8 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 15 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 0.71 | 13 tgt · 27% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 55 | 30/55 · 390 yd |
| 2 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 53 | 28/53 · 312 yd |
| 3 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 52 | 38/52 · 280 yd |
| 4 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 48 | 26/48 · 291 yd |
| 5 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 45 | 31/45 · 379 yd |
| 6 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 42 | 29/42 · 255 yd |
| 7 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 40 | 25/40 · 276 yd |
| 8 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 37 | 31/37 · 321 yd |
| 9 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 37 | 28/37 · 282 yd |
| 10 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 36 | 20/36 · 210 yd |
| 11 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 36 | 23/36 · 181 yd |
| 12 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 36 | 24/36 · 235 yd |
| 13 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 34 | 17/34 · 186 yd |
| 14 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | 34 | 24/34 · 247 yd |
| 15 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 34 | 19/34 · 292 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 19.4 | 9/10 · 194 yd |
| 2 | Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 16.75 | 3/4 · 67 yd |
| 3 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 14 | 7/8 · 112 yd |
| 4 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 14 | 5/6 · 84 yd |
| 5 | Brycen Tremayne | WR | CAR | 13.83 | 4/6 · 83 yd |
| 6 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 13.2 | 4/5 · 66 yd |
| 7 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 13.12 | 7/8 · 105 yd |
| 8 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 12.86 | 6/7 · 90 yd |
| 9 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 12.86 | 6/7 · 90 yd |
| 10 | Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 12.5 | 4/4 · 50 yd |
| 11 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 12.25 | 3/4 · 49 yd |
| 12 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 12.25 | 4/4 · 49 yd |
| 13 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 12.25 | 3/4 · 49 yd |
| 14 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 11.71 | 6/7 · 82 yd |
| 15 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | 11.62 | 4/8 · 93 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 7.47 | 17 car · 127 yd |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 6.69 | 29 car · 194 yd |
| 3 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 6.5 | 8 car · 52 yd |
| 4 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 6.42 | 24 car · 154 yd |
| 5 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 6.22 | 9 car · 56 yd |
| 6 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 5.87 | 15 car · 88 yd |
| 7 | Najee Harris | RB | NYG | 5.78 | 9 car · 52 yd |
| 8 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 5.47 | 15 car · 82 yd |
| 9 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 5.16 | 19 car · 98 yd |
| 10 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 5 | 15 car · 75 yd |
| 11 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | 5 | 10 car · 50 yd |
| 12 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 4.95 | 20 car · 99 yd |
| 13 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 4.87 | 15 car · 73 yd |
| 14 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 4.69 | 13 car · 61 yd |
| 15 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | 4.62 | 8 car · 37 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 3.31 | 7 opp · 23.2 FP |
| 2 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 2.57 | 7 opp · 18.0 FP |
| 3 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 2.57 | 7 opp · 18.0 FP |
| 4 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 2.5 | 8 opp · 20.0 FP |
| 5 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 2.41 | 8 opp · 19.3 FP |
| 6 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 2.39 | 10 opp · 23.9 FP |
| 7 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 2.29 | 9 opp · 20.6 FP |
| 8 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | 2.25 | 6 opp · 13.5 FP |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 2.17 | 14 opp · 30.4 FP |
| 10 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | 2.16 | 8 opp · 17.3 FP |
| 11 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 2.09 | 8 opp · 16.7 FP |
| 12 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | 1.99 | 8 opp · 15.9 FP |
| 13 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 1.94 | 9 opp · 17.5 FP |
| 14 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 1.91 | 10 opp · 19.1 FP |
| 15 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 1.86 | 9 opp · 16.7 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 12.26 | 10 tgt · 194 yd |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 11.07 | 8 tgt · 112 yd |
| 3 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 10.22 | 7 tgt · 82 yd |
| 4 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 9.89 | 7 tgt · 90 yd |
| 5 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 9.47 | 6 tgt · 34 yd |
| 6 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 9.3 | 12 tgt · 98 yd |
| 7 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 8.59 | 13 tgt · 116 yd |
| 8 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | 8.34 | 8 tgt · 64 yd |
| 9 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 7.68 | 13 tgt · 107 yd |
| 10 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 7.22 | 9 tgt · 51 yd |
| 11 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | 7.08 | 8 tgt · 93 yd |
| 12 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 7 | 7 tgt · 90 yd |
| 13 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 6.62 | 6 tgt · 84 yd |
| 14 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 6.49 | 8 tgt · 105 yd |
| 15 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 6.32 | 13 tgt · 107 yd |