Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Opportunity xFP
- 15.4
- Actual
- 38.0
- vs xFP
- +147%
Weekly NFL leaderboards, opportunity-based expected points, usage changers, and awards graded against the looks they got — and against the sportsbook, when lines exist.
Compare to preseason models → · Upload weekly lines →Opportunity awards grade 364 skill players against the looks they actually got.
No weekly sportsbook lines uploaded — add them to grade vs Vegas too.
Who actually won you the week, in Underdog half-PPR.
Underdog half-PPR, the same scoring the projections use.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 40.82 | 248 pass yd · 69 rush yd · 5 TD |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 38 | 9-155 rec · 3 TD |
| 3 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 35.5 | 8-195 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 31.3 | 8-153 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 30.7 | 9-142 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 29.78 | 327 pass yd · 7 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 7 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 29.76 | 279 pass yd · 26 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 8 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 28.98 | 382 pass yd · 17 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 9 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 28.48 | 287 pass yd · 30 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 10 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 27.98 | 327 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 27.2 | 92 rush yd · 4-40 rec · 2 TD |
| 12 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 24.08 | 287 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 13 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 23 | 7-75 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 22.7 | 10-117 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 22.38 | 252 pass yd · 23 rush yd · 2 TD |
Top QBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 40.82 | 248 pass yd · 69 rush yd · 5 TD |
| 2 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 29.78 | 327 pass yd · 7 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 3 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 29.76 | 279 pass yd · 26 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 4 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 28.98 | 382 pass yd · 17 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 5 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 28.48 | 287 pass yd · 30 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 6 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 27.98 | 327 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 4 TD |
| 7 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 24.08 | 287 pass yd · 6 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 8 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 22.38 | 252 pass yd · 23 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 9 | Drew Lock | QB | SEA | 21.4 | 235 pass yd · 3 TD |
| 10 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 21.22 | 253 pass yd · 1 rush yd · 3 TD |
| 11 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 20.02 | 183 pass yd · 7 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 12 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 19.72 | 238 pass yd · 22 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 13 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 18.16 | 264 pass yd · 16 rush yd · 2 TD |
| 14 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 17.02 | 353 pass yd · 29 rush yd |
| 15 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 16.18 | 207 pass yd · -1 rush yd · 2 TD |
Top RBs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 27.2 | 92 rush yd · 4-40 rec · 2 TD |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 20.8 | 117 rush yd · 6-61 rec |
| 3 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 20.6 | 23 rush yd · 4-43 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 20.4 | 135 rush yd · 1-4 rec · 1 TD |
| 5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 20.3 | 52 rush yd · 6-61 rec · 1 TD |
| 6 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 16.5 | 94 rush yd · 2-21 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 16.2 | 68 rush yd · 3-19 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 14.7 | 85 rush yd · 2-12 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 13.6 | 76 rush yd · 1 TD |
| 10 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 13.4 | 53 rush yd · 2-11 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 13.3 | 39 rush yd · 3-19 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 13.2 | 65 rush yd · 2--3 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 11.7 | 29 rush yd · 5-63 rec |
| 14 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 11.3 | 43 rush yd · 6-40 rec |
| 15 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 11 | 89 rush yd · 4-1 rec |
Top WRs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 38 | 9-155 rec · 3 TD |
| 2 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 35.5 | 8-195 rec · 2 TD |
| 3 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 31.3 | 8-153 rec · 2 TD |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 30.7 | 9-142 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 23 | 7-75 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 22.7 | 10-117 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 20.4 | 5-119 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 19.2 | 5-47 rec · 2 TD |
| 9 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 18.6 | 8-86 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 18.3 | 7-88 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 18 | 5-95 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 17.8 | 8-138 rec |
| 13 | Cody White | WR | LV | 15.4 | 2-24 rec · 2 TD |
| 14 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 14.2 | 5-57 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Ryan Miller | WR | MIA | 14.2 | 1-77 rec · 1 TD |
Top TEs by half-PPR scoring.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 20.6 | 9-101 rec · 1 TD |
| 2 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 20 | 12-140 rec |
| 3 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 19 | 7-95 rec · 1 TD |
| 4 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 18.3 | 4-43 rec · 2 TD |
| 5 | Darren Waller | TE | CAR | 16.8 | 3-33 rec · 2 TD |
| 6 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 16 | 4-80 rec · 1 TD |
| 7 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 14.4 | 6-54 rec · 1 TD |
| 8 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 14.2 | 6-52 rec · 1 TD |
| 9 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 14.1 | 8-41 rec · 1 TD |
| 10 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 11.4 | 3 rush yd · 6-21 rec · 1 TD |
| 11 | Nate Adkins | TE | DEN | 11.3 | 6 rush yd · 3-32 rec · 1 TD |
| 12 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 8.8 | 2-18 rec · 1 TD |
| 13 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 8.6 | 4-66 rec |
| 14 | Blake Whiteheart | TE | CLE | 8.2 | 1-17 rec · 1 TD |
| 15 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 7.9 | 6-49 rec |
Given the looks they actually got — targets, air yards, carries, attempts — how many points should they have scored? Over/under here is conversion luck, not a beat of the sportsbook.
Actual minus expected — same opportunities, better conversion. Minimum 4 xFP so a one-play boom is not the story.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | +22.62 | 38.0 FP vs 15.4 xFP · 11 tgt |
| 2 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | +17.01 | 40.8 FP vs 23.8 xFP · 14 car · 31 att |
| 3 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | +16.56 | 28.5 FP vs 11.9 xFP · 3 car · 22 att |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | +16.05 | 31.3 FP vs 15.2 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 5 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | +15.18 | 35.5 FP vs 20.3 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | +13.13 | 29.8 FP vs 16.6 xFP · 4 car · 31 att |
| 7 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | +12.16 | 30.7 FP vs 18.5 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 8 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | +12.07 | 18.3 FP vs 6.2 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 9 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | +11.71 | 23.0 FP vs 11.3 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 10 | Darren Waller | TE | CAR | +11.63 | 16.8 FP vs 5.2 xFP · 3 tgt |
| 11 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | +11.35 | 28.0 FP vs 16.6 xFP · 4 car · 31 att |
| 12 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | +10.86 | 20.6 FP vs 9.7 xFP · 4 tgt · 10 car |
| 13 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | +10.76 | 29.8 FP vs 19.0 xFP · 3 car · 38 att |
| 14 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | +10.38 | 19.2 FP vs 8.8 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 15 | Drew Lock | QB | SEA | +9.86 | 21.4 FP vs 11.5 xFP · 26 att |
Actual minus expected — the work was there, the points were not. Minimum 8 xFP; a bust has to have been someone you started.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP vs xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | -13.05 | 5.0 FP vs 18.0 xFP · 1 car · 39 att |
| 2 | Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | -10.99 | 3.7 FP vs 14.7 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 3 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | -10.8 | 9.3 FP vs 20.1 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 4 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | -10.55 | 6.0 FP vs 16.6 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 5 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | -9.88 | 3.5 FP vs 13.4 xFP · 2 car · 27 att |
| 6 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | -9.55 | 17.0 FP vs 26.6 xFP · 3 car · 55 att |
| 7 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | -9.32 | 8.3 FP vs 17.6 xFP · 7 tgt · 21 car |
| 8 | Theo Johnson | TE | NYG | -9.28 | 0.0 FP vs 9.3 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 9 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | -9.07 | 4.0 FP vs 13.1 xFP · 6 tgt |
| 10 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | -8.32 | 5.2 FP vs 13.5 xFP · 9 tgt |
| 11 | Tez Johnson | WR | TB | -7.97 | 5.4 FP vs 13.4 xFP · 4 tgt |
| 12 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | -7.65 | 10.8 FP vs 18.4 xFP · 6 tgt · 20 car |
| 13 | Cooper Rush | QB | ATL | -7.54 | 1.4 FP vs 9.0 xFP · 2 car · 17 att |
| 14 | Jared Wayne | WR | HOU | -7.43 | 4.3 FP vs 11.7 xFP · 7 tgt |
| 15 | Chris Moore | WR | BAL | -7.42 | 1.1 FP vs 8.5 xFP · 3 tgt |
Who should have scored the most, given the quality of their looks. This is the deserved board — volume and air yards, not touchdown luck.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | xFP | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 26.57 | 17.0 FP vs 26.6 xFP · 3 car · 55 att |
| 2 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 23.81 | 40.8 FP vs 23.8 xFP · 14 car · 31 att |
| 3 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 22.35 | 20.8 FP vs 22.4 xFP · 10 tgt · 24 car |
| 4 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 22.3 | 29.0 FP vs 22.3 xFP · 2 car · 47 att |
| 5 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 22.08 | 20.0 FP vs 22.1 xFP · 14 tgt |
| 6 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 21.79 | 15.6 FP vs 21.8 xFP · 5 car · 41 att |
| 7 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 21.55 | 22.4 FP vs 21.6 xFP · 9 car · 34 att |
| 8 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 21.42 | 22.7 FP vs 21.4 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 9 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 20.32 | 35.5 FP vs 20.3 xFP · 10 tgt |
| 10 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 20.1 | 9.3 FP vs 20.1 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 11 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 20.02 | 18.2 FP vs 20.0 xFP · 5 car · 37 att |
| 12 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 20.02 | 13.3 FP vs 20.0 xFP · 12 tgt |
| 13 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 19.02 | 29.8 FP vs 19.0 xFP · 3 car · 38 att |
| 14 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 18.54 | 30.7 FP vs 18.5 xFP · 13 tgt |
| 15 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 18.45 | 10.8 FP vs 18.4 xFP · 6 tgt · 20 car |
Who is being fed more — or less — than they were. Week 1 is versus last season's rate; later weeks are versus the previous week. Volume is what repeats.
Carries vs Week 1. Minimum 8 carries this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | +19 | 21 car · was 2.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 2 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | +16 | 16 car · was 0.0 car |
| 3 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | +12 | 13 car · was 1.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 4 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | +11 | 23 car · was 12.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 5 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | +11 | 23 car · was 12.0 car |
| 6 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | +10 | 10 car · was 0.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 7 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | +9 | 17 car · was 8.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 8 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | +9 | 20 car · was 11.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 9 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | +9 | 9 car · was 0.0 car · 6 tgt |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | +8 | 14 car · was 6.0 car |
| 11 | James Cook | RB | BUF | +8 | 21 car · was 13.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 12 | Kaleb Johnson | RB | GB | +8 | 8 car · was 0.0 car |
| 13 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | +7 | 14 car · was 7.0 car · 1 tgt |
| 14 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | +5 | 24 car · was 19.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 15 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | +5 | 9 car · was 4.0 car |
Carries vs Week 1. Had to have been a real rusher in the baseline (8+ carries/game).
| # | Player | Pos | Team | car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | -14 | 6 car · was 20.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | -13 | 16 car · was 29.0 car · 8 tgt |
| 3 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | -12 | 6 car · was 18.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 4 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | -12 | 5 car · was 17.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 5 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | -11 | 4 car · was 15.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 6 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | -11 | 0 car · was 11.0 car |
| 7 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | -8 | 16 car · was 24.0 car · 3 tgt |
| 8 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | -7 | 6 car · was 13.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 9 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | -7 | 7 car · was 14.0 car |
| 10 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | -6 | 16 car · was 22.0 car · 5 tgt |
| 11 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | -6 | 12 car · was 18.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 12 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | -6 | 2 car · was 8.0 car · 2 tgt |
| 13 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | -5 | 16 car · was 21.0 car · 4 tgt |
| 14 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | -5 | 5 car · was 10.0 car |
| 15 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | -5 | 5 car · was 10.0 car · 1 tgt |
Weighted Opportunity Rating vs Week 1 — target share and air yards together. Minimum 4 targets this week.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | +0.65 | 0.92 this week · 0.27 Week 1 · 10 tgt |
| 2 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | +0.62 | 0.74 this week · 0.12 Week 1 · 9 tgt |
| 3 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | +0.55 | 1.00 this week · 0.44 Week 1 · 12 tgt |
| 4 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | +0.55 | 0.55 this week · 0.00 Week 1 · 8 tgt |
| 5 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | +0.48 | 0.76 this week · 0.28 Week 1 · 9 tgt |
| 6 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | +0.44 | 0.56 this week · 0.12 Week 1 · 9 tgt |
| 7 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | +0.44 | 0.70 this week · 0.26 Week 1 · 9 tgt |
| 8 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | +0.43 | 0.77 this week · 0.33 Week 1 · 9 tgt |
| 9 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | +0.4 | 0.46 this week · 0.06 Week 1 · 6 tgt |
| 10 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | +0.39 | 0.92 this week · 0.53 Week 1 · 10 tgt |
| 11 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | +0.38 | 0.56 this week · 0.18 Week 1 · 5 tgt |
| 12 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | +0.37 | 1.02 this week · 0.65 Week 1 · 13 tgt |
| 13 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | +0.36 | 0.85 this week · 0.49 Week 1 · 11 tgt |
| 14 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | +0.35 | 0.72 this week · 0.36 Week 1 · 7 tgt |
| 15 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | +0.35 | 0.59 this week · 0.24 Week 1 · 5 tgt |
Who actually got the looks, by team. Bars are share of that team's targets, carries, and air yards this week.
Who is being fed this week. Absolute workload, not the change.
Volume is the most repeatable thing in fantasy — this board predicts next week better than any points board does.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | touches + targets | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 34 | 10 tgt · 24 car · 23% tgt share |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 28 | 4 tgt · 24 car · 13% tgt share |
| 3 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 28 | 7 tgt · 21 car · 24% tgt share |
| 4 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 26 | 6 tgt · 20 car · 26% tgt share |
| 5 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 25 | 2 tgt · 23 car · 8% tgt share |
| 6 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 25 | 5 tgt · 20 car · 16% tgt share |
| 7 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 24 | 3 tgt · 21 car · 11% tgt share |
| 8 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 24 | 8 tgt · 16 car · 21% tgt share |
| 9 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 23 | 23 car · 0% tgt share |
| 10 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 22 | 1 tgt · 21 car · 4% tgt share |
| 11 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 21 | 5 tgt · 16 car · 14% tgt share |
| 12 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 21 | 4 tgt · 17 car · 12% tgt share |
| 13 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 21 | 5 tgt · 16 car · 17% tgt share |
| 14 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 20 | 4 tgt · 16 car · 13% tgt share |
| 15 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 19 | 3 tgt · 16 car · 10% tgt share |
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one workload number.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | index | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 1.05 | 12 tgt · 43% tgt share |
| 2 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 1.02 | 13 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 1.01 | 11 tgt · 42% tgt share |
| 4 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 1 | 12 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 5 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 0.92 | 10 tgt · 33% tgt share |
| 6 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 0.92 | 10 tgt · 34% tgt share |
| 7 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 0.88 | 6 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 8 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 0.86 | 10 tgt · 32% tgt share |
| 9 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 0.85 | 11 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 10 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 0.83 | 9 tgt · 29% tgt share |
| 11 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 0.82 | 13 tgt · 34% tgt share |
| 12 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 0.81 | 10 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 13 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 0.81 | 10 tgt · 38% tgt share |
| 14 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 0.77 | 10 tgt · 31% tgt share |
| 15 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 0.77 | 9 tgt · 30% tgt share |
Pass attempts, kept on its own board so QB volume doesn't swamp the skill-position list.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | attempts | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 55 | 30/55 · 353 yd |
| 2 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 47 | 32/47 · 382 yd |
| 3 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 41 | 27/41 · 247 yd |
| 4 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 39 | 23/39 · 187 yd |
| 5 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 38 | 26/38 · 327 yd |
| 6 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 37 | 26/37 · 264 yd |
| 7 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 36 | 23/36 · 287 yd |
| 8 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 34 | 27/34 · 252 yd |
| 9 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 34 | 21/34 · 182 yd |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 31 | 20/31 · 248 yd |
| 11 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 31 | 26/31 · 279 yd |
| 12 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 31 | 22/31 · 327 yd |
| 13 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 31 | 20/31 · 207 yd |
| 14 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 31 | 21/31 · 235 yd |
| 15 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 31 | 22/31 · 288 yd |
Who did the most with what they got — every board has a volume floor.
Minimum 4 targets — without a floor this board is always a backup with one long catch.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/tgt | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 24 | 3/4 · 96 yd |
| 2 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 21.5 | 4/4 · 86 yd |
| 3 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 20 | 4/4 · 80 yd |
| 4 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 19.5 | 8/10 · 195 yd |
| 5 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 17 | 8/9 · 153 yd |
| 6 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 17 | 5/7 · 119 yd |
| 7 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 16.5 | 4/4 · 66 yd |
| 8 | Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | 16 | 2/4 · 64 yd |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 14.09 | 9/11 · 155 yd |
| 10 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 13.83 | 4/6 · 83 yd |
| 11 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 13.8 | 8/10 · 138 yd |
| 12 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 13.57 | 5/7 · 95 yd |
| 13 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 12.6 | 5/5 · 63 yd |
| 14 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 12.33 | 5/6 · 74 yd |
| 15 | Tez Johnson | WR | TB | 12.25 | 1/4 · 49 yd |
Minimum 8 carries.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | yd/car | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 7.08 | 12 car · 85 yd |
| 2 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 6.58 | 12 car · 79 yd |
| 3 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 6.43 | 21 car · 135 yd |
| 4 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 5.24 | 17 car · 89 yd |
| 5 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 5 | 13 car · 65 yd |
| 6 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 4.93 | 14 car · 69 yd |
| 7 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 4.88 | 24 car · 117 yd |
| 8 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 4.75 | 16 car · 76 yd |
| 9 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 4.7 | 10 car · 47 yd |
| 10 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | 4.64 | 11 car · 51 yd |
| 11 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 4.57 | 14 car · 64 yd |
| 12 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 4.57 | 23 car · 105 yd |
| 13 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 4.5 | 16 car · 72 yd |
| 14 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 4.42 | 12 car · 53 yd |
| 15 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 4.38 | 21 car · 92 yd |
Minimum 6 opportunities — the cleanest read on who is making their touches count.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | FP/opp | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 3.55 | 10 opp · 35.5 FP |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 3.48 | 9 opp · 31.3 FP |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 3.45 | 11 opp · 38.0 FP |
| 4 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 3.2 | 6 opp · 19.2 FP |
| 5 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 2.91 | 7 opp · 20.4 FP |
| 6 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 2.57 | 7 opp · 18.0 FP |
| 7 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 2.56 | 9 opp · 23.0 FP |
| 8 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 2.38 | 8 opp · 19.0 FP |
| 9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 2.36 | 13 opp · 30.7 FP |
| 10 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 2.03 | 9 opp · 18.3 FP |
| 11 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 2.03 | 7 opp · 14.2 FP |
| 12 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 2.03 | 7 opp · 14.2 FP |
| 13 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 1.87 | 11 opp · 20.6 FP |
| 14 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 1.86 | 10 opp · 18.6 FP |
| 15 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 1.78 | 10 opp · 17.8 FP |
Expected points added on targets — credits catches that actually moved the chains, not just yardage.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | EPA | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 17.88 | 11 tgt · 155 yd |
| 2 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 11.75 | 10 tgt · 195 yd |
| 3 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 11.37 | 9 tgt · 153 yd |
| 4 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 11.05 | 6 tgt · 74 yd |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 10.7 | 13 tgt · 142 yd |
| 6 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 8.75 | 10 tgt · 138 yd |
| 7 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 8.18 | 9 tgt · 72 yd |
| 8 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 8.17 | 4 tgt · 86 yd |
| 9 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 7.49 | 14 tgt · 140 yd |
| 10 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 7.19 | 8 tgt · 95 yd |
| 11 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 7.01 | 4 tgt · 66 yd |
| 12 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 6.99 | 7 tgt · 95 yd |
| 13 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 6.47 | 10 tgt · 86 yd |
| 14 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 6.47 | 4 tgt · 43 yd |
| 15 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 6 | 8 tgt · 61 yd |